Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies, Saturday, Predictions, Las Vegas Sports Betting, MLB Baseball Odds, and Picks

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Miami at Philadelphia, MLB Baseball Sports Betting Lines

When: 6:05 PM ET, Saturday, September 28, 2019
Where: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

TV: 7:05 p.m. ET, FS Florida (Miami), NBCS Philadelphia

PITCHING MATCHUP: Marlins LH Caleb Smith (10-10, 4.31 ERA) vs. Phillies RH Zach Eflin (9-13, 4.16)

Team / Live in game BettingSpreadMoney LineTotal
Miami Marlins[C. Smith -L]+1½ -125+165Ov 9 -110
Philadelphia Phillies[Z. Eflin -R]-1½ +105-175Un 9 -110

The Miami Marlins and the Philadelphia Phillies will both be gunning for a victory on Saturday, when they meet at Citizens Bank Park.

Although he won his last two starts, Smith has had a number of wobbly moments, allowing a grand slam and seven hits allowed over six innings at the New York Mets on Monday after permitting four runs and eight hits in five innings at Arizona. The 28-year-old has surrendered 13 home runs over his last nine starts, giving up at least four runs six times in that span. Smith is 1-0 with a 0.75 ERA in a pair of starts versus Philadelphia this season and has stymied Rhys Hoskins (0-for-6) and Harper (0-for-4)

Eflin was on a roll before it ended with a thud Monday in Washington, when he served up three homers and was charged with five runs and eight hits over five innings. It ended a streak of 10 appearances in which he had not allowed more than three runs, including a superb effort at Atlanta in his previous turn when he permitted one unearned run and five hits over seven innings. Curtis Granderson is 5-for-14 against Eflin, who is 2-1 with a 4.32 ERA versus Miami this season, including a complete-game win.

Oddsmakers opened the Phillies as 175-moneyline favorites versus the Marlins, while the game’s total opened at 9.

Even though they occupy the bottom two rungs in the National League East on the final weekend of the regular season, the Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins appear in no hurry to go home. The Phillies kept their hopes alive for their first winning season since 2011 in the series opener and continue their three-game set against the visiting Marlins on Saturday night.

The teams slogged through 15 innings and more than five hours before Philadelphia halted its six-game losing streak on a walk-off error to beat Miami for only the third time in 10 meetings. Bryce Harper has hit safely in 11 of 12 games after collecting a pair of hits and two RBIs to boost his season total to a career-best 111. Marlins shortstop Miguel Rojas collected four hits to hike his season average to .358 (19-for-53) against the Phillies this season. Rookie Harold Ramirez homered for the first time since Sept. 5 and is 10-for-30 over the last seven games for Miami, which sends lefty Caleb Smith to the mound to oppose Zach Eflin.

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Sports Betting Trends

  • Miami are 5-13 SU in their last 18 games.
  • Miami are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games against Philadelphia.
  • Miami are 6-14 SU in their last 20 games on the road.
  • Miami are 6-14 SU in their last 20 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia.
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami’s last 9 games against an opponent in the National League East division.
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami’s last 10 games played on a Saturday.
  • Philadelphia are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games against Miami.
  • Philadelphia are 14-6 SU in their last 20 games when playing at home against Miami.
  • Philadelphia are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games this season.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia’s last 8 games played on a Saturday.

Vegas Coverage pick and prediction:
Philadelphia Phillies will win outright at -175 and the game will go under 9  runs according to

PREDICTION: Marlins 5, Phillies 4

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