Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets, Saturday, Las Vegas Sports Betting, MLB Baseball Odds, Predictions and Picks

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Atlanta at NY Mets, MLB Baseball Sports Betting Lines

When: 7:15 PM ET, Saturday, September 28, 2019
Where: Citi Field, New York City, New York

TV: 7:15 p.m. ET, FOX

PITCHING MATCHUP: Braves RH Mike Foltynewicz (8-5, 4.46 ERA) vs. Mets LH Steven Matz (10-10, 4.37)

Team / Live in game BettingSpreadMoney LineTotal
Atlanta Braves[M. Foltynewicz -R]+1½ -210-104Ov 8½ -115
New York Mets[S. Matz -L]-1½ +180-106Un 8½ -105

The Atlanta Braves and the New York Mets will both be gunning for a victory on Saturday, when they meet at Citi Field.

Foltynewicz continued his brilliance since returning from the minor leagues in his last start Sept. 20 against San Francisco, allowing three hits with one walk and seven strikeouts over eight shutout innings as the Braves clinched the NL East. The 27-year-old has completely reversed his season, going 6-0 with a 2.35 ERA and .211 opponents batting average in nine starts since being recalled on Aug. 6. Foltynewicz has pitched to a 1.49 ERA in his past seven starts, giving up one run on two hits with seven strikeouts across seven innings in a no-decision at the Mets on Aug. 23.

Matz has pitched a career-high 154 1/3 innings this season and the workload may have caught up to him down the stretch, as he’s allowed 13 runs on 15 hits (including four homers) across nine innings in his past two starts. The 28-year-old had pitched very well before his past two starts, posting a 2.52 ERA with a .227 opponents batting average in his previous 11 starts with 61 strikeouts in 64 1/3 innings. Matz, who is 7-2 with a 2.47 ERA in 16 games (14 starts) at home, is 1-2 with a 3.96 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in five starts against Atlanta this season.

Oddsmakers opened the Mets as 106-moneyline favorites versus the Braves, while the game’s total opened at 8½.

The New York Mets’ season will end this weekend, but there remains intrigue heading into Saturday’s home matchup with the National League East champion Atlanta Braves as first baseman Pete Alonso chases major league history. The favorite to win NL Rookie of the Year belted his big-league leading 52nd homer of the season in the first inning of Friday’s 4-2 victory, tying the single-season rookie home run record set by Yankees slugger Aaron Judge two years ago.

Alonso entered Friday just 2-for-18 with 10 strikeouts in his previous four outings, but has two games left to try and set the rookie record and become the first New York Mets player to ever lead the major leagues in homers. The Braves have their sights set on next week’s NL Division Series but have a few milestones of their own in play entering the final two games, starting with second baseman Ozzie Albies going 1-for-5 on Friday to take over the NL lead in hits with 188. First baseman Freddie Freeman, who did not play in two games at Kansas City this week due to a bone spur in his right elbow, returned to the Atlanta lineup and reported no problems in going 0-for-5 with a run scored – remaining two homers shy of 40 longballs for the season. Braves shortstop Dansby Swanson continued blasting out of a late-season slump, finishing 3-for-5 one game after collecting four hits against the Royals.

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Sports Betting Trends

  • Atlanta are 11-4 SU in their last 15 games against NY Mets.
  • Atlanta are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Mets.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta’s last 8 games against an opponent in the National League.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 5 games against an opponent in the National League East division.
  • Atlanta are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games played on a Saturday.
  • NY Mets are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games.
  • NY Mets are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games at home.
  • NY Mets are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta.
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Mets’ last 11 games against an opponent in the National League East division.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Mets’ last 7 games played on a Saturday.

Vegas Coverage pick and prediction:
New York Mets will win outright at -106 and the game will go under 8½  runs according to

PREDICTION:  Braves 5, Mets 2

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