Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies, Friday, MLB Baseball Odds, Las Vegas Sports Betting, Picks and Predictions

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ATLANTA BRAVES PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
48-52, 2nd in National League East July 28, 7:05 PM | Grass of Citizens Bank Park 35-64, 5th in National League East
Atlanta at Philadelphia, MLB Baseball Sports Betting Lines
When: 7:05 PM ET, Friday, July 28, 2017
Where: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
TV: 7:05 p.m. ET, FSN South (Atlanta), CSN Philadelphia
PITCHING MATCHUP: Braves RH Julio Teheran (7-8, 4.67 ERA) vs. Phillies RH Jeremy Hellickson (6-5, 4.73)
Team / Live in game Betting at bovada-logo-top-book Spread Money Line Total
Atlanta Braves [J. Teheran -R] -1½ +127 -118 Ov 9 -128
Philadelphia Phillies [J. Hellickson -R] +1½ -147 +108 Un 9 +108
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The division rival Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies are set to renew hostilities on Friday when they meet at Citizens Bank Park.

The Braves will pin their hopes on the pitching of right hander Julio Teheran in this game. Teheran has a 7-8 record and a 4.75 ERA this season.

Starting this game for the Phillies will be Jeremy Hellickson. The right hander has a 4.73 ERA to go along with a 6-5 record this season.

Atlanta continues to seek consistency from Teheran, whose ERA is nearly 1 ½ runs higher than it was a year ago while his strikeouts-to-walks ratio of 1.91 is a far cry from last season’s 4.07 mark. He has lost his past two starts, giving up four runs (three earned) and allowing three homers in 6 1/3 innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers on July 22. The 26-year-old, who is 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA in 10 away starts, is 7-4 with a 2.79 ERA in 15 career appearances against the Phillies.

Hellickson has faded since starting the season 5-1, winning just once in his past 11 starts while posting a 5.74 ERA and allowing a .288 opponents’ batting average. The 30-year-old gave up six runs on seven hits over five innings in a no-decision July 22 against Milwaukee, six days after he beat the Brewers in giving up two runs on four hits. Hellickson won his only start of the season against the Braves on April 21 in Philadelphia, limiting Atlanta to two runs on three hits with no walks and five strikeouts in seven innings.

Oddsmakers currently have the Braves listed as 118-moneyline favorites versus the Phillies, while the game’s total is sitting at 9.

The Atlanta Braves open a four-game series Friday at the Philadelphia Phillies, but one of the rebuilding team’s cornerstones will not be there. Atlanta sent slumping rookie shortstop Dansby Swanson to Triple-A Gwinnett after Wednesday’s 10-3 loss at Arizona, hoping he can get regular playing time after a 2-for-40 slump found the 23-year-old spending most of his time on the bench in favor of the hot-hitting Johan Camargo.

Atlanta is 3-4 on its current 11-game road trip and the bullpen is struggling, as Braves relievers enter the series with a 6.75 ERA and a 1.69 WHIP in 68 innings this month. Philadelphia owns baseball’s worst record and is 23-52 since starting the season 12-12, but has won six of its past 10 and leads the season series with the Braves 5-2. Phillies catcher Cameron Rupp is red hot in his past 13 games, hitting .357 with four homers and eight RBIs after belting a pair of two-run homers in Wednesday’s 9-0 victory over the Astros. Philadelphia dealt reliever Pat Neshek to Colorado before the game, and hope another trade candidate – veteran Howie Kendrick – is healthy after he was hit with a pitch in the left hand in the third inning.

Philadelphia won its last outing, a 9-0 result against the Astros on July 26. Bettors who backed the Phillies at -110 on the moneyline won on the day, and the total score (9) sent OVER bettors to the payout window.

Atlanta lost its last outing, a 10-3 result against the Diamondbacks on July 26. Bettors who backed the Diamondbacks at -197 on the moneyline won on the day, and the total score (13) sent OVER bettors to the payout window.

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Atlanta:
Team record: 48-52 SU
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta’s last 8 games
Atlanta is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games on the road

Philadelphia:
Team record: 35-64 SU
Philadelphia is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
Philadelphia is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Philadelphia is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games at home

Next up:
Atlanta at Philadelphia Saturday, July 29

MLB BASEBALL SPORTS BETTING TIPS

1. Philadelphia CF Odubel Herrera has reached base in 24 of his past 52 plate appearances across his last 13 games, but did not start Wednesday after being pulled from Tuesday’s game for not running on a dropped third strike.

2. Atlanta RF Nick Markakis recorded his 1,991st career hit with a RBI single in the eighth inning Wednesday.

3. The Phillies swept the Braves at home April 21-23, winning twice by one run, while the two teams split a four-game set June 5-8 in Atlanta.

 

Vegas Coverage pick and prediction:

Atlanta Braves will win outright at -118 and the game will go over 9 runs according to scamdicappers scamdicappers.com.

PREDICTION: Braves 6, Phillies 5 at bovada-logo-top-book.

SMART CHART
ATL TEAM PHI
4.67 RUNS 4.02
5.15 RUNS AGNST 4.85
-0.48 DIFF -0.83
$786 MONEY -$2,125
4.72 TEAM ERA 4.60
9.03 OFF HITS 8.40
2.80 OFF WALKS 3.01
7.57 OFF Ks 8.70
9.08 DEF HITS 9.05
3.57 DEF WALKS 3.22
7.48 DEF Ks 7.76
INJURIES
ATLANTA BRAVES
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
Chris Withrow P 15-Day Disabled List
Matt Marksberry P 15-Day Disabled List
Jesse Biddle P 15-Day Disabled List
Andrew McKirahan P 15-Day Disabled List
William Perez P 15-Day Disabled List
Paco Rodriguez P 60-Day Disabled List
Mallex Smith OF 15-day Disabled List
Dan Winkler P 15-Day Disabled List
A.J. Pierzynski C 15-Day Disabled List
Eric O’Flaherty P 15-Day Disabled List
Rob Whalen P 15-Day Disabled List
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
Zach Eflin P 15-Day Disabled List
Aaron Nola P 15-Day Disabled List
Matt Harrison P 60-Day Disabled List
Charlie Morton P 60-Day Disabled List
Andres Blanco SS 15-Day Disabled List
BETTING TRENDS
ATLANTA BRAVES
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta’s last 8 games
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Atlanta’s last 10 games on the road
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta’s last 8 games when playing Philadelphia
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Atlanta is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Philadelphia’s last 14 games at home
Philadelphia is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games at home
Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia’s last 8 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Philadelphia is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Atlanta
SUPERGRID
RANK RANK
Atlanta’s Overall Scoring vs Philadelphia’s Overall Defense 4.7 9 4.9 8
Atlanta’s Away Scoring vs Philadelphia’s Home Defense 5.0 4 5.0 12
Atlanta’s Road ERA vs Philadelphia’s Home ERA Allowed 4.5 9 3.9 11
Philadelphia’s Overall Scoring vs Atlanta’s Overall Defense 4.0 13 5.2 13
Philadelphia’s Home Scoring vs Atlanta’s Road Defense 4.2 12 4.8 10
Philadelphia’s Home ERA vs Atlanta’s Road ERA Allowed 4.6 12 4.3 6
TOP 3/BOTTOM 3
BRAVES
Braves are second in the league in free passes at 3.3 per game.
Braves are second worst in K’s per game with 8.5.
Braves are the toughest team to score on in the league, allowing just 3.4 runs per game.
Braves are second best in walks allowed in the league at 2.5 per game.
PHILLIES
Phillies are the third lowest scoring team in the league at 3.8 runs per game.
Phillies are second worst in the league in free passes at 2.6 per game.
Phillies have the second weakest defence in the league at 4.6 runs per game.
Phillies are second worst in the league in giving up hits, allowing 9.0 per game.

 

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