Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins, Tuesday, MLB Baseball Sports Betting, Las Vegas Odds, Picks and Predictions

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PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES MIAMI MARLINS
30-61, 5th in National League East July 18, 7:10 PM | Grass of Marlins Park 42-49, 3rd in National League East
Philadelphia at Miami, MLB Baseball Sports Betting Lines
When: 7:10 PM ET, Tuesday, July 18, 2017
Where: Marlins Park, Miami, Florida
TV: 7:10 p.m. ET, CSN Philadelphia, FSN Florida
PITCHING MATCHUP: Phillies RH Vince Velasquez (2-5, 5.58 ERA) vs. Marlins LH Adam Conley (2-3, 7.53)
Team / Live in game Betting at bovada-logo-top-book Spread Money Line Total
Philadelphia Phillies [V. Velasquez -R] +1½ -175 +119 Ov 9 +105
Miami Marlins [A. Conley -L] -1½ +155 -129 Un 9 -125
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Divisional bragging rights will be on the line on Tuesday when the Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins meet at Marlins Park.

The Phillies will pin their hopes on the pitching of right hander Vince Velasquez in this game. Velasquez has a 2-5 record and a 5.58 ERA this season.

The Marlins will counter Velasquez with Adam Conley. Left hander Conley has a 7.53 ERA to go along with a 2-3 record this season.

Velasquez is expected to return from the disabled list to make his first start since May 30. The 25-year-old, who has been sidelined with an ailing elbow, hopes a return to health can alter his fortunes as he has surrendered 11 homers, 52 hits and 33 runs in 50 innings. Velasquez has split a pair of decisions versus Miami this season, tossing 6 1/3 strong innings in a 7-4 win on April 26 before being taken deep as part of two runs on as many hits in 1 1/3 frames of a 7-2 setback on May 30.

Conley returns from a stint with Triple-A New Orleans to make his first start since May 8. The 27-year-old, who posted a 3-3 mark with a 5.49 ERA in 12 games with the Baby Cakes, owns a 2-1 mark with a 1.47 ERA in five career starts against Philadelphia. Odubel Herrera has enjoyed success versus Conley by going 4-for-9, however the left-hander has flustered Freddy Galvis (2-for-12).

Oddsmakers currently have the Marlins listed as 129-moneyline favorites versus the Phillies, while the game’s total is sitting at 9.

Giancarlo Stanton didn’t successfully defend his Home Run Derby title last week, but the slugger is no stranger to testing the limits of the ball park. After recording his third multi-homer game in his last nine outings and 24th career, Stanton aims to continue flexing his muscles on Tuesday as the host Miami Marlins vie for a series victory against the major league-worst Philadelphia Phillies.

Dee Gordon, who has been linked to the Phillies in potential trade talks, had a walk-off RBI single in the 10th inning of a 6-5 victory in the opener to push his hit total to 10 in six games versus Philadelphia. The Marlins have feasted on the Phillies in South Florida, erupting for 27 runs in four home games this season. Philadelphia’s Nick Williams recorded his third multi-hit performance in five games on Monday, improving to 7-for-20 with two homers and eight RBIs in that stretch. Maikel Franco has enjoyed facing Miami, going 8-for-18 with one homer and five RBIs in five encounters this season and is 3-for-9 in his career versus Tuesday starter Adam Conley.

Miami won its last outing, a 6-5 result against the Phillies on July 17. Bettors who backed the Marlins at -150 on the moneyline won on the day, and the total score (11) sent OVER bettors to the payout window.

The Phillies were a 6-5 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Marlins. That made winners of bettors who got Miami at -150 on the moneyline, while the total score (11) was good news for OVER bettors.

Where to Bet on Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins?

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Philadelphia:
Team record: 30-61 SU
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Philadelphia’s last 12 games

Miami:
Team record: 42-49 SU
Miami is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami’s last 6 games
Miami is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Next up:
Philadelphia at Miami Wednesday, July 19

MLB BASEBALL SPORTS BETTING TIPS

1. Miami LF Marcell Ozuna has hit safely in six straight games and 13 of his last 14 overall.

2. Phillies 2B Cesar Hernandez is just 3-for-18 with seven strikeouts against the Marlins this season.

3. Miami 1B Justin Bour is 7-for-22 with three homers and five RBIs versus Philadelphia in 2017.

Vegas Coverage pick and prediction:

Philadelphia Phillies will win outright at +119 and the game will stay under 9 runs according to scamdicappers scamdicappers.com.

PREDICTION: Phillies 3, Marlins 2 at bovada-logo-top-book.

SMART CHART
PHI TEAM MIA
3.85 RUNS 4.65
4.88 RUNS AGNST 4.95
-1.03 DIFF -0.30
-$2,413 MONEY -$569
4.66 TEAM ERA 4.59
8.15 OFF HITS 9.29
2.97 OFF WALKS 2.74
8.64 OFF Ks 7.87
9.08 DEF HITS 8.43
3.27 DEF WALKS 3.89
7.65 DEF Ks 7.88
INJURIES
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
Zach Eflin P 15-Day Disabled List
Aaron Nola P 15-Day Disabled List
Matt Harrison P 60-Day Disabled List
Charlie Morton P 60-Day Disabled List
Andres Blanco SS 15-Day Disabled List
MIAMI MARLINS
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
Justin Bour 1B 15-Day Disabled List
Bryan Morris P 15-Day Disabled List
Wei-Yin Chen P 15-Day Disabled List
Adam Conley P 15-Day Disabled List
Giancarlo Stanton P 15-Day Disabled List
Derek Dietrich 2B 15-Day Disabled List
BETTING TRENDS
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Philadelphia’s last 12 games
Philadelphia is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
Philadelphia is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games on the road
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
MIAMI MARLINS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami’s last 6 games
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
SUPERGRID
RANK RANK
Philadelphia’s Overall Scoring vs Miami’s Overall Defense 3.9 14 5.0 10
Philadelphia’s Away Scoring vs Miami’s Home Defense 3.8 14 4.8 10
Philadelphia’s Road ERA vs Miami’s Home ERA Allowed 4.8 10 3.9 11
Miami’s Overall Scoring vs Philadelphia’s Overall Defense 4.7 10 4.9 9
Miami’s Home Scoring vs Philadelphia’s Road Defense 4.2 11 4.8 9
Miami’s Home ERA vs Philadelphia’s Road ERA Allowed 4.2 7 3.3 14
TOP 3/BOTTOM 3
PHILLIES
Phillies are the third lowest scoring team in the league at 3.8 runs per game.
Phillies are second worst in the league in free passes at 2.6 per game.
Phillies have the second weakest defence in the league at 4.6 runs per game.
Phillies are second worst in the league in giving up hits, allowing 9.0 per game.
MARLINS
Marlins are lowest scoring team in the league at 3.2 runs per game.
Marlins trail the league in hits with 7.8 per game.
Marlins are second worst in walks allowed in the league at 3.2 per game.

 

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