Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers, Sunday, Las Vegas Odds, MLB Baseball Sports Betting, Picks and Predictions

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29-60, 5th in National League East July 16, 2:10 PM | Grass of Miller Park 52-41, 1st in National League Central
Philadelphia at Milwaukee, MLB Baseball Sports Betting Lines
When: 2:10 PM ET, Sunday, July 16, 2017
Where: Miller Park, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
TV: 2:10 p.m. ET, CSN Philadelphia, FSN Wisconsin (Milwaukee)
PITCHING MATCHUP: Phillies RH Jeremy Hellickson (5-5, 4.49 ERA) vs. Brewers RH Matt Garza (4-4, 3.98)
Team / Live in game Betting at bovada-logo-top-book Spread Money Line Total
Philadelphia Phillies [J. Hellickson -R] +1½ -155 +143 Ov 9½ -105
Milwaukee Brewers [M. Garza -R] -1½ +135 -153 Un 9½ -115
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The Philadelphia Phillies and the Milwaukee Brewers will both be gunning for a victory on Sunday when they meet at Miller Park.

Hellickson has suffered four losses during his nine-start winless drought and has settled for a no-decision in each of his last four outings, including a six-inning stint against Pittsburgh on July 6 in which he gave up three runs and five hits. The 30-year-old native of Iowa has worked at least six frames six times since his last victory, a road triumph over the Pirates on May 19. Hellickson is 2-1 with a 2.74 ERA in four career starts against Milwaukee.

Garza is coming off his first win in four starts, a victory over Baltimore on July 5 in which he scattered five hits over 6 1/3 scoreless innings. The 33-year-old Californian has been keeping the ball in the park of late, serving up only two homers over his last seven outings. Garza has posted an impressive 2.32 ERA over eight career starts against Philadelphia but owns just a 2-2 record.

Oddsmakers currently have the Brewers listed as 153-moneyline favorites versus the Phillies, while the game’s total is sitting at 9½.

The Milwaukee Brewers look to complete a three-game sweep before heading out on the road when they host the Philadelphia Phillies for the series finale on Sunday. Milwaukee has come out of the All-Star break to win the first two games of the set, posting a 3-2 triumph on Saturday for its eighth victory in nine overall contests.

Travis Shaw was the offensive hero in the latest win, leading off the eighth inning with his career-best 20th homer to snap a tie. The Brewers were unable to increase their lead in the National League Central, however, remaining 5 1/2 games ahead of Chicago as the Cubs trounced Baltimore. Philadelphia managed only four hits – three for extra bases – Saturday as it suffered its seventh loss in eight contests. Odubel Herrera registered two of them, including his eighth home run of the season as the 25-year-old Venezuelan has gone deep in three consecutive games and hit safely in seven of his last eight.

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1. Phillies OF Aaron Altherr (hamstring) missed Saturday’s contest and is listed as day-to-day.

2. Brewers RHP Junior Guerra (shin) is expected to be activated from the 10-day disabled list to start against Pittsburgh on Tuesday.

3. Milwaukee OF Hernan Perez hit his 11th homer on Saturday, leaving him two shy of matching the career high he set last season.

Vegas Coverage pick and prediction:

Milwaukee Brewers will win outright at -153 and the game will go over 9½ runs according to scamdicappers

PREDICTION: Brewers 7, Phillies 4 at bovada-logo-top-book.

3.82 RUNS 4.98
4.90 RUNS AGNST 4.45
-1.08 DIFF 0.53
-$2,454 MONEY $1,869
4.68 TEAM ERA 4.10
8.16 OFF HITS 8.66
2.92 OFF WALKS 3.31
8.71 OFF Ks 9.60
9.10 DEF HITS 8.68
3.22 DEF WALKS 3.49
7.58 DEF Ks 8.26
Zach Eflin P 15-Day Disabled List
Aaron Nola P 15-Day Disabled List
Matt Harrison P 60-Day Disabled List
Charlie Morton P 60-Day Disabled List
Andres Blanco SS 15-Day Disabled List
Junior Guerra P 15-Day Disabled List
Yonathan Barrios P 15-Day Disabled List
Chris Capuano P 15-Day Disabled List
Rymer Liriano OF 15-Day Disabled List
Sean Nolin P 60-Day Disabled List
Will Middlebrooks 3B 15-Day Disabled List
Jacob Barnes P 15-Day Disabled List
Michael Blazek P 15-Day Disabled List
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games
Philadelphia is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Philadelphia is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games when playing Milwaukee
Philadelphia is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee’s last 9 games
Milwaukee is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee’s last 5 games at home
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee’s last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Milwaukee is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing Philadelphia
Milwaukee is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Philadelphia’s Overall Scoring vs Milwaukee’s Overall Defense 3.8 14 4.5 4
Philadelphia’s Away Scoring vs Milwaukee’s Home Defense 3.7 14 4.8 7
Philadelphia’s Road ERA vs Milwaukee’s Home ERA Allowed 4.8 10 4.9 6
Milwaukee’s Overall Scoring vs Philadelphia’s Overall Defense 5.0 5 4.9 9
Milwaukee’s Home Scoring vs Philadelphia’s Road Defense 5.1 6 4.8 9
Milwaukee’s Home ERA vs Philadelphia’s Road ERA Allowed 4.2 7 3.3 14
Phillies are the third lowest scoring team in the league at 3.8 runs per game.
Phillies are second worst in the league in free passes at 2.6 per game.
Phillies have the second weakest defence in the league at 4.6 runs per game.
Phillies are second worst in the league in giving up hits, allowing 9.0 per game.
Brewers trail the league in walks with 2.5 per game.
Brewers strike out the second least opponents in the league with 6.9 per game.


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