Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers, Saturday, Las Vegas Sports Betting, MLB Baseball Odds, Picks and Predictions

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PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES MILWAUKEE BREWERS
29-59, 5th in National League East July 15, 7:10 PM | Grass of Miller Park 51-41, 1st in National League Central
Philadelphia at Milwaukee, MLB Baseball Sports Betting Lines
When: 7:10 PM ET, Saturday, July 15, 2017
Where: Miller Park, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
TV: 7:10 p.m. ET, NBC 10 (Philadelphia), FSN Wisconsin (Milwaukee)
PITCHING MATCHUP: Phillies RH Aaron Nola (6-6, 3.59 ERA) vs. Brewers RH Jimmy Nelson (8-4, 3.30)
Team / Live in game Betting at bovada-logo-top-book Spread Money Line Total
Philadelphia Phillies [A. Nola – R] +1½ -145 +155 Ov 8½ +100
Milwaukee Brewers [J. Nelson -R] -1½ +125 -165 Un 8½ -120
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The Philadelphia Phillies and the Milwaukee Brewers will both be gunning for a victory on Saturday when they meet at Miller Park.

Nola had his three-start winning streak snapped last time out as he suffered a hard-luck loss to San Diego on July 8 after allowing two runs and four hits in eight innings. The 24-year-old native of Louisiana has given up a total of five runs and recorded 34 strikeouts in 29 1/3 frames over his last four turns and has yielded more than three runs just once in his last seven outings. Nola was superb in his two previous career starts against Milwaukee, allowing one run and striking out 16 over 13 innings while notching a pair of victories.

Nelson has won each of his last three starts, including a road outing against the New York Yankees on Sunday in which he gave up three runs over five innings. The 28-year-old Oregonian has thrived at home of late, going 4-0 with a 0.97 ERA and 45 strikeouts in his last five turns at Miller Park. Nelson has posted a 1-1 record and 6.89 ERA in three career outings against Philadelphia.

Oddsmakers currently have the Brewers listed as 165-moneyline favorites versus the Phillies, while the game’s total is sitting at 8½.

The All-Star break did nothing to slow down the Milwaukee Brewers, who hope to extend their lead in the National League Central when they host the Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday for the middle contest of their three-game set. Milwaukee won six of its last seven contests before the break and picked up where it left off by posting a 9-6 triumph in Friday’s series opener.

The Brewers – who own a 5 1/2-game division lead over the Chicago Cubs – rolled to victory on the strength of an eight-run second inning that was powered by Ryan Braun’s sixth career grand slam, which put him ahead of Cecil Cooper, John Jaha and Jeromy Burnitz for the franchise lead. Manny Pina went 2-for-3 and drove in a run, giving him three multi-hit performances and six RBIs in seven contests this month. Philadelphia remains mired in the NL East basement as Friday’s setback was its sixth loss in seven games. Maikel Franco recorded four of the Phillies’ nine hits and drove in a pair of runs while Odubel Herrera, who also registered two RBIs, has hit safely in six of his last seven contests.

Where to Bet on Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers?

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MLB BASEBALL SPORTS BETTING TIPS

1. Phillies RHP Vince Velasquez (elbow) and 2B Cesar Hernandez (oblique) are expected to be activated from the 10-day disabled list during the team’s series in Miami, which begins Monday.

2. Milwaukee recalled OF Brett Phillips and optioned RHP Michael Blazek to Triple-A Colorado Springs.

3. Philadelphia OF Aaron Altherr went 2-for-3 on Friday but exited in the fifth inning with a mildly strained right hamstring.

Vegas Coverage pick and prediction:

Philadelphia Phillies will win outright at +155 and the game will stay under 8½ runs according to scamdicappers scamdicappers.com.

PREDICTION: Phillies 5, Brewers 3 at bovada-logo-top-book.

SMART CHART
PHI TEAM MIL
3.84 RUNS 5.00
4.92 RUNS AGNST 4.48
-1.08 DIFF 0.52
-$2,354 MONEY $1,769
4.69 TEAM ERA 4.12
8.20 OFF HITS 8.66
2.91 OFF WALKS 3.33
8.67 OFF Ks 9.60
9.11 DEF HITS 8.73
3.24 DEF WALKS 3.49
7.56 DEF Ks 8.22
INJURIES
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
Zach Eflin P 15-Day Disabled List
Aaron Nola P 15-Day Disabled List
Matt Harrison P 60-Day Disabled List
Charlie Morton P 60-Day Disabled List
Andres Blanco SS 15-Day Disabled List
MILWAUKEE BREWERS
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
Junior Guerra P 15-Day Disabled List
Yonathan Barrios P 15-Day Disabled List
Chris Capuano P 15-Day Disabled List
Rymer Liriano OF 15-Day Disabled List
Sean Nolin P 60-Day Disabled List
Will Middlebrooks 3B 15-Day Disabled List
Jacob Barnes P 15-Day Disabled List
Michael Blazek P 15-Day Disabled List
BETTING TRENDS
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia’s last 9 games
Philadelphia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Philadelphia is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia’s last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
MILWAUKEE BREWERS
Milwaukee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee’s last 9 games at home
Milwaukee is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Milwaukee is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee’s last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
Milwaukee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
SUPERGRID
RANK RANK
Philadelphia’s Overall Scoring vs Milwaukee’s Overall Defense 3.8 14 4.5 5
Philadelphia’s Away Scoring vs Milwaukee’s Home Defense 3.7 14 4.8 8
Philadelphia’s Road ERA vs Milwaukee’s Home ERA Allowed 4.8 9 4.9 6
Milwaukee’s Overall Scoring vs Philadelphia’s Overall Defense 5.0 4 4.9 9
Milwaukee’s Home Scoring vs Philadelphia’s Road Defense 5.1 6 4.9 9
Milwaukee’s Home ERA vs Philadelphia’s Road ERA Allowed 4.3 8 3.3 14
TOP 3/BOTTOM 3
PHILLIES
Phillies are the third lowest scoring team in the league at 3.8 runs per game.
Phillies are second worst in the league in free passes at 2.6 per game.
Phillies have the second weakest defence in the league at 4.6 runs per game.
Phillies are second worst in the league in giving up hits, allowing 9.0 per game.
BREWERS
Brewers trail the league in walks with 2.5 per game.
Brewers strike out the second least opponents in the league with 6.9 per game.

 

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