Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins, Saturday, Las Vegas Odds, MLB Baseball Sports Betting, Picks and Predictions

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BOSTON RED SOX MINNESOTA TWINS
15-14, 3rd in American League East May 6, 2:10 PM | Grass of Target Field 15-12, 1st in American League Central
Boston at Minnesota, MLB Baseball Betting Lines
When: 2:10 PM ET, Saturday, May 6, 2017
Where: Target Field, Minneapolis, Minnesota
TV: 2:10 p.m. ET, MLB Network, NESN (Boston), FSN North (Minnesota)
PITCHING MATCHUP: Red Sox RH Rick Porcello (1-4, 4.46 ERA) vs. Twins RH Nick Tepesch (2016: 0-1, 11.25)
Team / Live in game Betting at bovada-logo-top-book Spread Money Line Total
Boston Red Sox [R. Porcello -R] -1½ -107 -151 Ov 9 -115
Minnesota Twins [N. Tepesch -R] +1½ -113 +141 Un 9 -105
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The Boston Red Sox and the Minnesota Twins will both be gunning for a victory on Saturday when they meet at Target Field.

The Red Sox will trot Rick Porcello out to the mound in this one. Right hander Porcello has a 1-4 record and a 4.46 ERA this season.

Porcello’s opponent in this one will be Nick Tepesch. The Twins right hander has a 0.00 ERA to go along with a 0-0 record this season.

Porcello has already matched his 2016 loss total but run support has been the primary issue, as he has allowed four earned runs over 19 2/3 innings through his last three starts – all losses. The 28-year-old is 9-9 with a 3.94 ERA in 27 career starts versus Minnesota. He may need to be careful if he faces Kennys Vargas (4-for-7 with a home run, a triple and a double against Porcello), while Mauer (15-for-58) and Brian Dozier (8-for-37, three homers) have had their issues versus the righty.

Tepesch spent time in four different organizations in 2016 while combining to go 8-4 with a 3.96 ERA – all at the Triple-A level. He went 1-1 with a 2.00 mark with 17 strikeouts in 18 innings through three starts to begin this season for Triple-A Rochester. The 28-year-old, who was originally drafted out of high school by the Red Sox before choosing to attend the University of Missouri, has never faced Boston but is 2-0 with a 2.03 ERA in two previous starts at Target Field.

Oddsmakers currently have the Red Sox listed as 148-moneyline favorites versus the Twins, while the game’s total is sitting at 9.

The Minnesota Twins enter the first weekend of May in first place in the American League Central and will try to keep their hot streak going Saturday in the continuation of a three-game series with the visiting Boston Red Sox. A walk-off home run from Joe Mauer – the first of his career – propelled the Twins to a dramatic 4-3 victory in the opener of the set Friday night.

It also vaulted Minnesota – which has finished in last place in four of the last six years – into the top spot in the division for the first time in 2017. The Twins have won seven of their last nine and they are 5-1 in games decided by three runs or fewer in that span. Third baseman Miguel Sano has five multi-hit games during the hot stretch and he got Minnesota going Friday night with an RBI triple and a run scored in the first inning against the Red Sox, who fell to 4-7 on the road in their first contest since a controversial four-game series at home against the Baltimore Orioles. Boston figures to have the advantage on the mound in Saturday’s contest, as reigning Cy Young Award winner Rick Porcello opposes Nick Tepesch, who will be making his debut for the Twins.

Where to Bet on Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins?

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Boston:
Team record: 15-14 SU
Boston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston’s last 6 games
Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

Minnesota:
Team record: 15-12 SU
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota’s last 7 games

Next up:
Boston at Minnesota Sunday, May 7

MLB BASEBALL TIPS

1. Red Sox LF Andrew Benintendi homered Friday and is 7-for-10 in his last two road games.

2. Twins CF Byron Buxton did not play Friday after leaving Thursday’s contest following a collision with the wall.

3. Sano had his appeal hearing Friday for a suspension for his involvement in a bench-clearing incident against Detroit, but the ruling is not expected until early next week.

Vegas Coverage pick and prediction:

Boston Red Sox will win outright at -151 and the game will stay under 9 runs according to scamdicappers scamdicappers.com.
PREDICTION: Red Sox 5, Twins 3 at bovada-logo-top-book.

SMART CHART
BOS TEAM MIN
3.79 RUNS 4.67
3.93 RUNS AGNST 4.19
-0.14 DIFF 0.48
-$115 MONEY $316
3.51 TEAM ERA 3.94
8.90 OFF HITS 8.19
3.03 OFF WALKS 4.37
6.00 OFF Ks 7.93
8.14 DEF HITS 8.15
2.93 DEF WALKS 3.22
9.59 DEF Ks 6.81
INJURIES
BOSTON RED SOX
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
Ryan Hannigan C 15-Day Disabled List
Josh Rutledge 2B 15-Day Disabled List
Pablo Sandoval 3B 15-Day Disabled List
Carson Smith P 15-Day Disabled List
Blake Swihart C 15-Day Disabled List
Brandon Workman P 15-Day Disabled List
Koji Uehara P 15-Day Disabled List
Andrew Benintendi OF 15-Day Disabled List
MINNESOTA TWINS
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
Buddy Boshers P 15-Day Disabled List
Phil Hughes P 60-day Disabled List
Glen Perkins P 15-Day Disabled List
Trevor May P 15-Day Disabled List
Tommy Milone P 15-Day Disabled List
Danny Santana OF 15-Day Disabled List
BETTING TRENDS
BOSTON RED SOX
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston’s last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston’s last 6 games on the road
Boston is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston’s last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Boston is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
MINNESOTA TWINS
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota’s last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota’s last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota’s last 7 games when playing Boston
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
Minnesota is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Boston
SUPERGRID
RANK RANK
Boston’s Overall Scoring vs Minnesota’s Overall Defense 3.8 13 4.2 7
Boston’s Away Scoring vs Minnesota’s Home Defense 3.4 13 4.2 8
Boston’s Road ERA vs Minnesota’s Home ERA Allowed 3.5 2 4.8 6
Minnesota’s Overall Scoring vs Boston’s Overall Defense 4.7 5 3.9 4
Minnesota’s Home Scoring vs Boston’s Road Defense 4.7 8 3.6 2
Minnesota’s Home ERA vs Boston’s Road ERA Allowed 3.8 7 3.2 10
TOP 3/BOTTOM 3
RED SOX
Red Sox are the highest scoring team in the league at 5.3 runs per game.
Red Sox have the second best hits stat in the league at 9.7 per game.
Red Sox are second in the league in free passes at 3.6 per game.
TWINS
Twins are the third lowest scoring team in the league at 3.8 runs per game.
Twins are second worst in K’s per game with 8.8.
Twins have the second weakest defence in the league at 4.9 runs per game.
Twins have the worst hits allowed in the league, allowing 9.8 per game.
Twins are the third best in base on balls allowed, allowing 2.8 per game.
Twins trail the league in K’s with 6.1 per game.

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