Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds, Thursday, Las Vegas Sports Betting, MLB Baseball Odds, Picks and Prediction

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12-15, 5th in National League Central May 4, 12:35 PM | Grass of Great American Ball Park 13-14, 4th in National League Central
Pittsburgh at Cincinnati, MLB Baseball Sports Betting Lines and Odds
When: 12:35 PM ET, Thursday, May 4, 2017
Where: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, Ohio
TV: 12:35 p.m. ET, ROOT (Pittsburgh)
PITCHING MATCHUP: Pirates RH Ivan Nova (3-2, 1.50 ERA) vs. Reds RH Tim Adleman (0-1, 4.70)
Team / Live in game Betting at bovada-logo-top-book Run Line Money Line Total
Pittsburgh Pirates [I. Nova -R] -1½ +145 -109 Ov 8 -110
Cincinnati Reds [T. Adleman -R] +1½ -165 -101 Un 8 -110
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If familiarity breeds contempt, there should be animosity aplenty on Sunday when the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Cincinnati Reds meet at Great American Ball Park.

Nova fanned seven during his 95-pitch shutout against the Marlins to raise his season total to 22 strikeouts against just one walk in 36 innings. The 30-year-old Dominican has allowed two runs or fewer in four of five outings this season, save for the four he permitted in six innings of a 9-2 setback versus Cincinnati on April 12. Nova owns a 3-3 career mark with a 3.92 ERA against the Reds, with Zack Cozart (.300) serving as a difficult out for the hurler.

Adleman allowed two homers for the second straight start on Friday en route to being roughed up for six runs on a season-high eight hits in 5 1/3 innings of a 7-5 setback at St. Louis. The 29-year-old has fared a bit better in a pair of career starts versus Pittsburgh, allowing just one homer and a total of four runs in 12 innings without recording a decision. Adleman has struggled with Gregory Polanco, who is 4-for-5 with a homer and two doubles versus the hurler.

Oddsmakers currently have the Pirates listed as 109-moneyline favorites versus the Reds, while the game’s total is sitting at 8.

Ivan Nova has given the Pittsburgh Pirates plenty of bang for the buck since signing a three-year, $26 million deal in late December. Fresh off being named the National League Pitcher of the Month for April, Nova looks to continue his magic on Thursday afternoon as the Pirates vie for a split of their four-game series against the host Cincinnati Reds.

While Nova is coming off a three-hit shutout of Miami on Saturday, Pittsburgh’s hurlers have been taken to task by permitting 24 runs as the team has lost three of its last four heading into the finale of a seven-game road trip. Eugenio Suarez and Billy Hamilton each belted a three-run homer in Wednesday’s 7-2 rout for Cincinnati, with the former improving to 8-for-18 with two blasts and nine RBIs against Pittsburgh this season. The 25-year-old Suarez has also fared well in his career versus Nova by going 5-for-11 with a pair of doubles. Pirates star Andrew McCutchen has homered twice in this series and is batting 7-for-24 against the Reds this season, but owns an 0-for-5 mark with a strikeout in a small sample size against Thursday starter Tim Adleman.

Where to Bet on Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds?

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1. Reds 2B Jose Peraza recorded a double and two singles on Wednesday to improve to 10-for-31 during his seven-game hitting streak.

2. Pittsburgh 2B Josh Harrison, who is a Cincinnati native, is 4-for-12 with three homers, five RBIs and three runs scored in the series.

3. Reds 1B Joey Votto has scored a run in each game of this series and five of six encounters this season with the Pirates.

Vegas Coverage pick and prediction:

Pittsburgh Pirates will win outright at -109 and the game will stay under 8 runs according to scamdicappers scamdicappers.com.

PREDICTION: Pirates 2, Reds 1 at bovada-logo-top-book.

3.96 RUNS 4.74
4.59 RUNS AGNST 4.96
-0.63 DIFF -0.22
-$134 MONEY $220
3.98 TEAM ERA 4.69
7.85 OFF HITS 8.52
3.89 OFF WALKS 3.04
6.81 OFF Ks 7.81
8.93 DEF HITS 7.70
3.15 DEF WALKS 4.30
7.30 DEF Ks 9.04
Chris Stewart C 15-Day Disabled List
Hung Ho Kang 3B 15-Day Disabled List
Gerrit Cole P 15-Day Disabled List
Caleb Cotham P 15-Day Disabled List
Devin Mesoraco C 15-Day Disabled List
A.J Morris P 15-Day Disabled List
Yorman Rodriguez OF 15-Day Disabled List
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh’s last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Pittsburgh’s last 20 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh’s last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh’s last 10 games when playing Cincinnati
Pittsburgh is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh’s last 7 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Cincinnati’s last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cincinnati’s last 10 games when playing Pittsburgh
Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati’s last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh’s Overall Scoring vs Cincinnati’s Overall Defense 4.0 13 5.0 12
Pittsburgh’s Away Scoring vs Cincinnati’s Home Defense 4.2 9 4.9 11
Pittsburgh’s Road ERA vs Cincinnati’s Home ERA Allowed 3.2 1 4.1 8
Cincinnati’s Overall Scoring vs Pittsburgh’s Overall Defense 4.7 6 4.6 7
Cincinnati’s Home Scoring vs Pittsburgh’s Road Defense 4.4 8 3.6 2
Cincinnati’s Home ERA vs Pittsburgh’s Road ERA Allowed 4.6 11 3.9 8
Pirates are third worst in the league in times striking out with 8.2 per game.
Pirates have the second stingiest defence in the league at 3.6 runs per game.
Pirates are second best in the league in giving up hits, allowing 8.0 per game.
Pirates are third in the league in striking out opponents with 7.8 per game.
Reds are the third highest scoring team in the league at 4.3 runs per game.
Reds lead the league in walks with 3.6 per game.
Reds have the best hits allowed in the league, allowing 8.0 per game.
Reds are the third best in base on balls allowed, allowing 2.7 per game.
Reds lead the league in K’s with 8.0 per game.

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