New Mexico State Aggies vs. Baylor Bears, NCAA March Madness Sports Betting, Las Vegas Odds, Picks and Prediction

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NEW MEXICO STATE AGGIES BAYLOR BEARS
28-5 March 17, 12:40 PM | BOK Center 25-7
New Mexico St. vs Baylor, Sports Betting Lines and Odds
When: 12:40 PM ET, Friday, March 17, 2017
Where: BOK Center, Tulsa, Oklahoma
TV: 12:40 p.m. ET, truTV

COLLEGE BASKETBALL – Friday, March 17th – NCAA TOURNAMENT – FIRST ROUND – Bok Center – Tulsa, OK

Team / Live in game Betting at bovada-logo-top-book Spread Money Line Total
833 –New Mexico State Aggies +12½ -113 +635 Ov 135 -110
834 –Baylor Bears -12½ -107 -850 Un 135 -110
 

The New Mexico State Aggies and the Baylor Bears will both be gunning for a victory on Friday when they meet at BOK Center.

ABOUT NEW MEXICO STATE (28-5): The Aggies finished tied for second place in the WAC regular-season standings with Grand Canyon at 11-3, one game behind Cal State Bakersfield (12-2) in their first campaign under coach Paul Weir, a long-time assistant under Marvin Menzies before he departed in April to take the job at UNLV. The cupboard hardly was bare, however, as six of the team’s seven top scorers returned – including senior guard Ian Baker, who earned WAC Player of the Year honors after averaging 16.6 points, 4.3 rebounds and 4.1 assists. Baker followed that by being named MVP of the WAC tournament, scoring all 15 of his points in the title game in the second half, while 6-7 sophomore forward Eli Chula, an All-Conference Second Team pick who is averaging 12.4 points and a team best nine rebounds, and junior guard Braxton Huggins (13.6 points, 86 3-pointers) also were named to the All-Tournament Team.

ABOUT BAYLOR (25-7): The early exit from the Big 12 tournament was viewed by some to be a blessing in disguise for the Bears, who lost six of their final 11 games as they seemed to wear down in the final month. “We’ll take the positive, go home, get rest, get healthy, practice a little bit and hopefully execute like Kansas State did come next week,” coach Scott Drew told reporters. Junior forward Johnathan Motley, who dislocated a finger in the loss to Kansas State but returned to the game, is a semifinalist for the Naismith Award and leads the team in scoring (17.3 points) and the Big 12 in rebounding (9.9) while junior point guard Manu Lecomte, slowed by a sprained ankle over the final three weeks of the season, also is scoring in double digits (12.4 points) while averaging a team-best 3.9 assists and shooting 42.2 percent from 3-point range.

Oddsmakers currently have the Bears listed as 12½-point favorites versus the Aggies, while the game’s total is sitting at 135.

After finishing tied for second place in the powerful Big 12 Conference, Baylor held out hope for a program-best No. 2 seed despite suffering a 70-64 quarterfinal loss to Kansas State in the conference tournament. Instead, the Bears matched a school record with a No. 3 seeding in the East Region of the NCAA Tournament but also got their best-case scenario by being placed in the Tulsa quadrant, where they will face 14th-seeded WAC champion New Mexico State in the first round Friday.

It’s roughly a five-hour drive from Waco to Tulsa for Baylor fans, who will be hoping the Bears can avoid a third straight first-round loss. Baylor has garnered a No. 3 seed for the fourth time (2010, 2012, 2015) and will be looking to avoid a history-making setback against the Aggies. The Bears fell to Yale 79-75 as a fifth seed last year and were edged 57-56 by Georgia State as a No. 3 in 2015, but a top-5 seed has not lost in the first round in three consecutive years. New Mexico State, which overcame a 13-minute field-goal drought to win the WAC tournament with a 70-60 comeback victory over defending champion Cal State Bakersfield on Saturday, is no stranger to March Madness as it makes its fifth appearance in the Tournament in six years.

In their last action, Baylor was a 70-64 loser at home against Wildcats. They failed to cover the -4.5-point spread as favorites.

New Mexico State won its last outing, a 70-60 result against Roadrunners on March 11. They covered in that game as a -2-point favorite.

Where to bet on New Mexico State Aggies vs. Baylor Bears?

Bovada.lv or Mybookie.ag and GTBETS. Betting lines are available at Bovada Sportsbook, where you can make your bets and get a 50% welcome bonus with your first deposit.

New Mexico State:
Team record: 28-5 SU,6-2 ATS
Current Streak: won 5 straight games.
New Mexico State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Baylor:
Team record: 25-7 SU,14-15 ATS
Baylor is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Baylor is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games

MARCH MADNESS BETTING TIPS

1. Baylor is 8-2 in games it has trailed at halftime, including comeback wins over West Virginia (two), Michigan State, Louisville and Xavier.

2. The 28 victories for New Mexico State are the most in a season in school history, topping the 27 recorded by the 1970 Final Four squad coached by Lou Henson.

3. The winner will play either No. 6 seed SMU or the victor of the First Four game between USC and Providence on Sunday.

Vegas Coverage pick and prediction:
Picks: New Mexico State Aggies will cover the spread at +12.5 and the game will go over 135 points, according to scamdicappers scamdicappers.com

PREDICTION: Baylor 72, New Mexico State 63 at bovada-logo-top-book betnow-vegas-coverage.

SMART CHART
NMXST TEAM BAYLR
78.9 PTS FOR 72.7
67.2 PTS AGNST 62.7
11.7 DIFF. 10.0
26.8 DEF REBOUNDS 25.2
12.9 OFF REBOUNDS 12.9
46.8 FG% 47.1
71.2 FT% 71.7
7.4 3 POINTERS 6.8
4.8 STEALS 5.1
BETTING TRENDS
NEW MEXICO STATE
No trends to report
BAYLOR
Baylor is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Baylor is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
SUPERGRID
RANK RANK
New Mexico State’s Overall Scoring vs Baylor’s Overall Defense 78.9 51 62.7 18
New Mexico State’s Away Scoring vs Baylor’s Home Defense 72.1 122 59.6 15
New Mexico State’s Road Rebounds vs Baylor’s Home Rebounds Allowed 37.7 51 29.3 13
Baylor’s Overall Scoring vs New Mexico State’s Overall Defense 72.7 190 67.2 58
Baylor’s Home Scoring vs New Mexico State’s Road Defense 72.9 248 68.6 45
Baylor’s Home Rebounds vs New Mexico State’s Road Rebounds Allowed 38.1 113 34.4 97

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