Army Black Knights vs. North Texas Mean Green, Heart of Dallas Bowl, NCAA Football Betting, Odds, Picks and Prediction

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ARMY BLACK KNIGHTS NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN
7-5 December 27, 12:00 PM | Grass of Cotton Bowl 5-7

When: 12:00 PM ET, Tuesday, December 27, 2016
Where: Cotton Bowl Stadium, Dallas, Texas
TV: Noon ET, Dec. 27, ESPN.

Team Spread Money Line Total
Army -10.5 -115 -405 48.5 -110
North Texas +10.5 -105 +325 48.5 -110

The Army Black Knights and the North Texas Mean Green will both be trying to pick up a win on Tuesday when they battle at Cotton Bowl.

ABOUT ARMY (7-5): The constant to the Army ground attack has been sophomore running back Andy Davidson, who leads the team with 178 carries for 905 yards and 11 touchdowns. Still, in the loss to North Texas he ran the ball just 16 times for 70 yards and no scores, and averaged 78.7 yards in the team’s five losses — missing one completely with injury. The Black Knights are able to attack on the ground with a number of different players, but if Davidson isn’t having his usual success the Army offense can get slowed down.

ABOUT NORTH TEXAS (5-7, 3-5 Conference USA): If the Mean Green are going to repeat their win over Army from earlier this year, the defense must improve. In the five games since holding the Black Knights to 18 points — the fewest by a North Texas opponent this year — the Mean Green have allowed an average of 39.2 points while going 1-4. North Texas forced seven turnovers against Army but managed just six since, meaning the team’s leading tackler defensive back Kishawn McClain (86 tackles) and the rest of the defense need to be more opportunistic in their season finale.

Oddsmakers currently have the Black Knights listed as 10.5-point favorites versus the Mean Green, while the game’s total is sitting at 48.5.

1. This year’s Heart of Dallas Bowl on Dec. 27 at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas will feature a rematch between two teams that played in the regular season — Army and North Texas. The visiting Mean Green defeated Army 35-18 on Oct. 22, handing the Black Knights their first home loss of the season. How well Army can slow down running back Jeffrey Wilson, who went for 160 yards and three touchdowns in the first matchup, will be a key to this game.

2. The Mean Green didn’t exactly take the regular route to a bowl game, dropping four of their last five to finish under .500. North Texas is only in a bowl because there weren’t enough 6-6 teams to fill all the available spots, allowing a handful of five-win squads into the party. Selections were based on academic progress rate scores, and the Mean Green ranked second among teams not bowl eligible, giving North Texas its ninth bowl game in school history.

3. Army is back in a bowl game for the first time since 2010, thanks in large part to the play of quarterback Ahmad Bradshaw. The dual-threat junior signal caller finished second on the team in rushing with 695 yards and paced the passing game with 650 yards, accounting for 11 touchdowns either on the ground or in the air. The Black Knights aren’t going to pass much in any game, but after throwing four interceptions in the loss to North Texas earlier this season, Bradshaw will need to be especially choosy about his aerial attempts in this contest.

Last time out for North Texas, they were a 52-24 loser as they battled Miners on the road. North Texas failed to cover in the match as a -4-point favorite, while 76 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors.

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Army:
Team record: 6-5 SU,6-5 ATS
Army is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Army’s last 13 games
Army is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing North Texas

North Texas:
Team record: 5-7 SU,6-5-1 ATS
North Texas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
North Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of North Texas’s last 15 games

Vegas Coverage pick and prediction:
Picks: Army Black Knights will cover the spread at -10.5 and the game will stay under 48.5 points, according to scamdicappers scamdicappers.com
PREDICTION: Army 24, North Texas 13 at bovada-logo-top-book.

SMART CHART
ARMY TEAM NTEXAS
29.3 PTS FOR 24.3
18.9 PTS AGNST 32.2
10.3 DIFF. -7.9
76.2 PASS YDS 198.9
327.3 RUSH YDS 137.3
158.3 PASS D 212.5
124.6 RUSH D 219.5
0.3 TO DIFF -0.2
INJURIES
ARMY
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
No Injuries to report.
NORTH TEXAS
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
No Injuries to report.
BETTING TRENDS
ARMY
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Army’s last 5 games
Army is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing North Texas
NORTH TEXAS
North Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
North Texas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of North Texas’s last 15 games
North Texas is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Army
North Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Army
SUPERGRID
RANK RANK
Army’s Overall Scoring vs North Texas’s Overall Defense 29.3 64 32.2 93
North Texas’s Overall Scoring vs Army’s Overall Defense 24.3 102 18.9 13
POWER STATS
YARDS PER POINT
TEAM OFF DEF DIFF
ARMY 13.8 15.0 -1.2
NTEXAS 13.9 13.4 0.4
YARDS PER PASS
TEAM OFF DEF DIFF
ARMY 7.7 6.4 1.3
NTEXAS 5.8 7.3 -1.4
YARDS PER RUSH
TEAM OFF DEF DIFF
ARMY 5.5 4.0 1.6
NTEXAS 4.1 5.1 -1.0

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