Kentucky Wildcats vs. Louisville Cardinals, NCAA Basketball Sports Betting, Las Vegas Odds, Picks and Prediction

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KENTUCKY WILDCATS LOUISVILLE CARDINALS
10-1 December 21, 7:00 PM | KFC Yum! Center 10-1
When: 7:00 PM ET, Wednesday, December 21, 2016
Where: KFC Yum! Center, Louisville, Kentucky
TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN
Team / Live in game Betting at bovada-logo-top-book Spread Money Line Total
Kentucky Wildcats -2 -105 -131 157.5 -115
Louisville Cardinals +2 -115 +111 157.5 -105
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The fans at KFC Yum! Center will be treated to a game between the Kentucky Wildcats and the Louisville Cardinals when they take their seats on Wednesday.
ABOUT KENTUCKY (10-1): Monk (21.9 points) broke the Wildcats’ previous freshman scoring record by 12 points by going 18-of-28 from the field; his 47 points were the most by an SEC freshman since Chris Jackson of LSU scored 55 in 1989 and the second-highest total ever allowed by North Carolina to one player. Fellow freshman De’Aaron Fox (15.2 points, SEC-high 7.2 assists) tallied a season-high 24 points and 10 assists versus the Tar Heels; his 79 assists through 11 games are 26 more than Tyler Ulis had at the same point last season when he went on to set the school’s single-season record. Sophomore Isaiah Briscoe (15.9 points) is yet another explosive guard for Kentucky and like Monk, has scored in double figures in every game this season.

ABOUT LOUISVILLE (10-1): Donovan Mitchell (11.7 points, 5.7 rebounds, ACC-high 2.5 steals) and Deng Adel (9.7 points) are arguably the Cardinals’ top two defenders and figure to draw the task of keeping Monk in check for the majority of this contest. Athletic 6-9, 230-pound forward Jaylen Johnson (9.5 points, 8.1 boards, 1.2 blocks in 21.1 minutes) was hampered by a lingering cold for most of the first part of December, but the junior has seen his playing time increase lately and is one of four Louisville players averaging at least one block. Center Mangok Mathiang (6.8 points, 7.2 rebounds) did not score in Saturday’s victory over Eastern Kentucky but tied a career high with 13 rebounds and set another with four assists while recording two blocks in only 20 minutes of action.

bovada-logo-top-book currently has the Wildcats listed as 2-point favorites versus the Cardinals, while the game’s total is sitting at 157.5 according to MyBookie-White logo -70x40.

Louisville won its last outing, a 87-56 result against Colonels on December 17. They covered in that game as a -26.5-point favorite.

In their last action, Kentucky was a 103-100 winner on the road against Tar Heels. They covered the -1-point spread as favorites.

Despite being separated by only 90 miles in a basketball-crazy state, No. 5 Kentucky and No. 11 Louisville couldn’t be much more different in their approaches. The defensive-minded Cardinals hope to end their recent struggles against their in-state rival Wednesday when they host one of college basketball’s most explosive offenses in the Wildcats.

Kentucky topped 100 points for the fourth time this season in Saturday’s thrilling 103-100 victory over No. 8 North Carolina in Las Vegas, doing so behind a freshman program-record 47 points from sharpshooter Malik Monk. The Wildcats, who rank third in Division I in scoring offense (95.3 points), are unlikely to find their offense as easily against a Louisvillle team that has yet to surrender more than 71 points this season and owns the top defense according to analytics site KenPom.com, allowing only 59.4 points (10th in Division I). The Cardinals have won five straight after routing Eastern Kentucky 87-56 last weekend and begin a stretch of four consecutive games against top-25 opponents. They will host 10th-ranked Virginia next Wednesday before playing 16th-ranked Indiana on a neutral court on New Year’s Eve and visiting No. 24 Notre Dame four days later. Louisville has won 53 of its last 54 home games – the lone loss coming against Kentucky almost two years ago – but the Cardinals have dropped eight of nine in this series since coach John Calipari took over in 2009.

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Kentucky:
Team record: 10-1 SU,8-3 ATS
Current Streak: won 3 straight games.
Kentucky is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Kentucky is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kentucky’s last 7 games

Louisville:
Team record: 10-1 SU,7-2 ATS
Current Streak: won 5 straight games.
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Louisville is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kentucky

Next up:
Kentucky at Mississippi Thursday, December 29
Louisville home to Virginia Wednesday, December 28

KEY NOTES
1. Monk’s 38 3-point field goals through 11 games are ahead of Jodie Meeks’ single-season school record-setting pace through the first 11 games of the 2008-09 season.
2. Louisville ranks fourth in Division I with 7.2 blocks, just ahead of fifth-place Kentucky’s 7.1.
3. The Wildcats are averaging just 13.8 seconds per possession, the seventh-fastest mark in the country and best among Power-5 teams.

Vegas Coverage pick and prediction:
Picks: Louisville Cardinals will cover the spread at+2 and the game will go over 157.5 points, according to scamdicappers scamdicappers.com
PREDICTION: Louisville 81, Kentucky 78 at bovada-logo-top-book betnow-vegas-coverage.

SMART CHART
KENTY TEAM LOUIS
95.2 PTS FOR 78.5
71.6 PTS AGNST 59.4
23.5 DIFF. 19.1
27.5 DEF REBOUNDS 28.9
15.7 OFF REBOUNDS 16.1
49.0 FG% 43.4
68.8 FT% 68.9
7.5 3 POINTERS 6.7
7.1 STEALS 7.5
INJURIES
KENTUCKY
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
No Injuries to report.
LOUISVILLE
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
No Injuries to report.
BETTING TRENDS
KENTUCKY
Kentucky is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Kentucky’s last 9 games on the road
Kentucky is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Louisville
LOUISVILLE
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Louisville’s last 17 games when playing Kentucky
Louisville is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Kentucky
Louisville is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kentucky
Louisville is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Kentucky
Louisville is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kentucky
SUPERGRID
RANK RANK
Kentucky’s Overall Scoring vs Louisville’s Overall Defense 95.2 3 59.4 12
Kentucky’s Away Scoring vs Louisville’s Home Defense 109.0 1 56.9 21
Kentucky’s Road Rebounds vs Louisville’s Home Rebounds Allowed 49.0 2 35.8 242
Louisville’s Overall Scoring vs Kentucky’s Overall Defense 78.5 89 71.6 177
Louisville’s Home Scoring vs Kentucky’s Road Defense 81.6 127 84.5 309
Louisville’s Home Rebounds vs Kentucky’s Road Rebounds Allowed 46.9 11 34.0 77
POWER STATS
SHOOTING PERCENTAGE
TEAM OFF DEF DIFF
KENTY 49.0 39.8 9.2
LOUIS 43.4 35.9 7.5
REBOUNDING
TEAM OFF DEF TOTAL
KENTY 15.7 27.5 43.3
LOUIS 16.1 28.9 45.0
ASSIST/TURNOVER RATIO
TEAM ASSISTS TURNOVERS RATIO
KENTY 19.9 11.4 1.8
LOUIS 14.9 11.5 1.3

 

 

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