San Diego State Aztecs vs. Houston Cougars, Las Vegas Bowl Betting, NCAA Football Odds, Picks and Prediction

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SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS HOUSTON COUGARS
10-3 December 17, 3:30 PM | Turf of Sam Boyd Stadium 9-3
Houston vs San Diego State
Las Vegas Bowl
When: 3:30 PM ET, Saturday, December 17, 2016
Where: Sam Boyd Stadium, Las Vegas, Nevada
TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC.
Team /  Live in game Betting at bovada-logo-top-book Spread Money Line Total
Houston University -4.5 -105 -215 52 -105
San Diego State +4.5 -115 +185 52 -115
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The San Diego State Aztecs and the Houston Cougars will both be gunning for a victory on Saturday when they meet at Sam Boyd Stadium.

ABOUT SAN DIEGO STATE (10-3, 6-2 Mountain West): The Aztecs have won 11 games three times in their history and this year’s squad is a run-based team that relies on Pumphrey and junior Rashaad Penny (995 rushing yards, 11 touchdowns). Pumphrey rushed for 16 touchdowns while shattering numerous records held by school legend Marshall Faulk and Penny averaged 7.9 yards per carry running the ball as well as averaging 31.9 yards and scoring two touchdowns on kickoff returns. Sophomore quarterback Christian Chapman (19 touchdowns, six interceptions) isn’t asked to do a lot in passing game and San Diego State rides a sturdy defense led by senior cornerback Damontae Kazee (seven interceptions this season, school-record 17 in his career) and senior outside linebacker Calvin Munson (team-best 108 tackles).

ABOUT HOUSTON (9-3, 5-3 American Athletic Conference): Ward fuels an attack that averages 38 points per game and junior receiver Linell Bonner caught 93 passes for 1,076 yards but only found the end zone three times. The Cougars’ best player is freshman defensive tackle Ed Oliver, who posted 19 1/2 tackles for losses (including five sacks) but he could be hampered in the bowl game by a balky knee. Sophomore cornerback Howard Wilson intercepted a team-best five passes while senior outside linebacker Steven Taylor had a team-best 72 tackles for the unit run by Todd Orlando, who was passed over for the head-coaching gig.

bovada-logo-top-book currently has the Cougars listed as 4.5-point favorites versus the Aztecs, while the game’s total is sitting at 59½.

1. New Houston coach Major Applewhite guides the Cougars into the Las Vegas Bowl matchup with San Diego State on Dec. 17 after Tom Herman departed to become Texas coach. Houston has never won bowl games in three consecutive seasons so the current group has plenty to play for against the Aztecs. San Diego State is attempting to match the school mark for victories and is participating in a bowl for the seventh straight season, the longest streak in school history.

2. San Diego State senior running back Donnel Pumphrey (6,290 yards) sits 108 yards away from surpassing Wisconsin’s Ron Dayne (6,397) as the all-time leading career rusher in FBS history. Moving past Dayne doesn’t come without controversy for Pumphrey as the NCAA didn’t recognize bowl statistics during Dayne’s career from 1996-99, otherwise Dayne’s yardage total is 7,125. Pumphrey rushed for 2,018 yards in the regular season but figures to be tested by the Cougars, who rank third nationally in rushing defense (97.9 yards per game) and allow just 2.9 yards per carry.

3. Houston quarterback Greg Ward Jr. is playing the final game of his spectacular career and ranks fifth in school history in both passing touchdowns (52) and passing yardage (8,476). Ward accounted for 31 touchdowns (22 passing, nine rushing) this season while throwing for 3,328 yards and rushing for 518. His health is something to watch as Ward has been dealing with shoulder soreness for most of the campaign but leg soreness could have an effect as well on a player who has 38 career rushing touchdowns.

In their last action, Houston was a 48-44 loser on the road against Tigers. They failed to cover the -5.5-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (92) was profitable news for OVER bettors.

San Diego State won its last outing, a 27-24 result against Cowboys on December 03. San Diego State failed to cover in that game as a -7.5-point favorite, while the 51 combined points took the game UNDER the total.

Where to Bet on San Diego State Aztecs vs. Houston Cougars?

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San Diego State:
Team record: 10-3 SU,6-6-1 ATS
San Diego State is 15-7-1 ATS in its last 23 games
San Diego State is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego State’s last 6 games

Houston:
Team record: 9-3 SU,5-7 ATS
Houston is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Houston is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston’s last 5 games.

Vegas Coverage pick and prediction:
Picks: San Diego State Aztecs will cover the spread at +4.5 and the game will go over 52 points, according to scamdicappers scamdicappers.com
PREDICTION: Houston 47, San Diego State 45 at bovada-logo-top-book.

SMART CHART
SD.ST TEAM HOUSTO
35.3 PTS FOR 38.0
21.0 PTS AGNST 22.6
14.3 DIFF. 15.4
145.8 PASS YDS 301.9
273.3 RUSH YDS 157.3
208.8 PASS D 227.1
111.9 RUSH D 97.9
-0.8 TO DIFF 0.3
INJURIES
SAN DIEGO STATE
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
No Injuries to report.
HOUSTON
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
No Injuries to report.
BETTING TRENDS
SAN DIEGO STATE
San Diego State is 15-7-1 ATS in its last 23 games
San Diego State is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego State’s last 6 games
HOUSTON
Houston is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
Houston is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston’s last 5 games
SUPERGRID
RANK RANK
San Diego State’s Overall Scoring vs Houston’s Overall Defense 35.3 31 22.6 27
Houston’s Overall Scoring vs San Diego State’s Overall Defense 38.0 20 21.0 20
POWER STATS
YARDS PER POINT
TEAM OFF DEF DIFF
SD.ST 11.9 15.3 -3.4
HOUSTO 12.1 14.4 -2.3
YARDS PER PASS
TEAM OFF DEF DIFF
SD.ST 7.8 6.6 1.2
HOUSTO 7.4 6.7 0.7
YARDS PER RUSH
TEAM OFF DEF DIFF
SD.ST 5.9 3.3 2.6
HOUSTO 3.6 2.9 0.8

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