Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Saint Marys Gaels, Las Vegas Odds, NCAA Basketball Betting, Picks, Prediction

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WESTERN KENTUCKY HILLTOPPERS ST. MARY’S GAELS
4-5 December 14, 10:00 PM | McKeon Pavilion 7-1
When: 10:00 PM ET, Wednesday, December 14, 2016
Where: McKeon Pavilion, Moraga, California
TV: 10 p.m. ET, None
Team / Live in game Betting at bovada-logo-top-book Spread MoneyLine Total
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +22 -115  TBA 133.5 -105
Saint Marys Gaels -22 -105  TBA 133.5 -115
168x28a-logo-bovada vegas-bet_now vegas_picks_red vegas-bet_now vegas_picks_red vegas-bet_now vegas_picks_red

ABOUT WESTERN KENTUCKY (4-5): Que Johnson, a 6-6 graduate transfer from Washington State who averaged 11.3 points in 2015-16, leads the Hilltoppers in scoring at 14.4 points while adding 5.2 rebounds, 1.4 steals and 2.1 shots from beyond the arc per contest. Junior 6-7 forward Justin Johnson averages 12.9 points and 8.9 rebounds and 6-4 Pancake Thomas chips in 12.3 points and 3.1 boards. Western Kentucky first-year coach Rick Stansbury might call on 7-1 Ben Lawson (5.1 points, 3.9 rebounds, 2.2 blocks) to neutralize Landale, but the senior averages just 18 minutes per game and played only two against Indiana State.

ABOUT SAINT MARY’S (7-1): Landale (18.4 points, 8.5 rebounds, 1.4 blocks) is averaging 21 points and 9.2 rebounds since moving into the starting lineup five games ago, and his 67.4 percent shooting from the floor is tops in the West Coast Conference. Guards Emmett Naar (9.3 points, 45 percent on 3-pointers) and Joe Rahon (7.5 points) each average 6.1 assists per game but their combined scoring average is down nearly eight points per game from last season. Calvin Hermanson (12.8 points), a 6-6 junior, is the top 3-point sniper, connecting on 23-of-48 shots from beyond the arc.

bovada-logo-top-book currently has the Gaels listed as 22-point favorites versus the Hilltoppers, while the game’s total is sitting at 133.5 according to MyBookie-White logo -70x40

Saint Mary’s coach Randy Bennett liked what he saw last Thursday with his team’s bounce-back performance. The 20th-ranked Gaels seek a second straight strong performance when Western Kentucky visits Wednesday in the first-ever meeting between the schools.

With every key player back from a team that won 29 games a season ago but was snubbed by the NCAA Tournament committee, the Gaels started this season at No. 19 and moved up as high as 11th before a disappointing 65-51 loss to Texas-Arlington in which the team shot 31.4 percent from the field. Saint Mary’s rebounded Monday by thrashing UC Irvine 84-53 on 56.3 percent shooting with 6-11 junior Jock Landale leading four players in double figures with 15 points. “I wasn’t that concerned. I knew we had a stinker the other night,” Bennett said after the victory. “That was good for us to see. That’s how you get confidence – here’s a little adversity, see how you bounce back.” Western Kentucky, in the midst of a seven-game road trip, snapped a four-game losing streak with a 77-59 victory over Indiana State on Sunday.

Where to bet on Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Saint Marys Gaels?

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KEY NOTES
1. The Gaels already own one win over Conference USA this season, a 76-63 triumph over UAB on Nov. 27.

2. Saint Mary’s is ranked for the sixth straight week – the longest stretch in school history, surpassing the previous high of five weeks back in 2008 and 2012.

3. In the latest RPI rankings by the NCAA, Saint Mary’s ranks 22nd; the Gaels have three victories against teams ranked inside the top-100 (Nevada, Dayton, Stanford) and one loss (Texas-Arlington).

Vegas Coverage pick and prediction:
Picks: Saint Marys Gaels will cover the spread at -22 and the game will stay under 133.5 points, according to scamdicappers scamdicappers.com
PREDICTION: Saint Mary’s 73, Western Kentucky 50 at bovada-logo-top-book betnow-vegas-coverage.

SMART CHART
W.KEN TEAM STMAR
66.6 PTS FOR 76.3
70.2 PTS AGNST 61.0
-3.7 DIFF. 15.3
27.7 DEF REBOUNDS 24.3
7.8 OFF REBOUNDS 9.5
41.6 FG% 50.9
71.7 FT% 79.0
6.0 3 POINTERS 9.8
5.1 STEALS 4.0
INJURIES
WESTERN KENTUCKY
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
No Injuries to report.
ST. MARY’S
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
No Injuries to report.
BETTING TRENDS
WESTERN KENTUCKY
Western Kentucky is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Western Kentucky is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Western Kentucky’s last 5 games on the road
ST. MARY’S
St. Mary’s is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Mary’s last 6 games
St. Mary’s is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home
SUPERGRID
RANK RANK
Western Kentucky’s Overall Scoring vs St. Mary’s’s Overall Defense 66.6 310 61.0 19
Western Kentucky’s Away Scoring vs St. Mary’s’s Home Defense 61.5 293 63.3 106
Western Kentucky’s Road Rebounds vs St. Mary’s’s Home Rebounds Allowed 34.0 195 26.0 8
St. Mary’s’s Overall Scoring vs Western Kentucky’s Overall Defense 76.3 135 70.2 156
St. Mary’s’s Home Scoring vs Western Kentucky’s Road Defense 80.5 141 73.8 140
St. Mary’s’s Home Rebounds vs Western Kentucky’s Road Rebounds Allowed 33.8 304 39.2 265
POWER STATS
SHOOTING PERCENTAGE
TEAM OFF DEF DIFF
W.KEN 41.6 42.4 -0.7
STMAR 50.9 43.2 7.7
REBOUNDING
TEAM OFF DEF TOTAL
W.KEN 7.8 27.7 35.4
STMAR 9.5 24.3 33.8
ASSIST/TURNOVER RATIO
TEAM ASSISTS TURNOVERS RATIO
W.KEN 10.9 13.8 0.8
STMAR 18.0 10.4 1.7

 

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