Navy Midshipmen vs. SMU Mustangs, Saturday Week 13, Las Vegas Odds, NCAA Football Betting, Picks, Prediction

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navy-midshipmenNAVY MIDSHIPMEN smu-mustangsSOUTHERN METHODIST MUSTANGS
8-2 November 26, 3:30 PM | Grass of Gerald J. Ford Stadium 5-6

When: 3:30 PM ET, Saturday, November 26, 2016
Where: Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Dallas, Texas
TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, ESPNU.

Team/  Live in game Betting at bovada-logo-top-book Spread MoneyLine Total
navy-midshipmenNavy Midshipmen -7 -105 -290 67 -110
smu-mustangsSMU Mustangs +7 -115 +230 67 -110
 168x28a-logo-bovada  vegas-bet_now vegas_picks_red  vegas-bet_now vegas_picks_red vegas-bet_now vegas_picks_red

The Navy Midshipmen and the SMU Mustangs will both be gunning for a victory on Saturday when they meet at Gerald J. Ford Stadium.

ABOUT NAVY (8-2, 6-1 AAC): Worth had six rushing TDs in the first five games of the season but has 16 in the last five, during which he has averaged 157.2 yards on the ground. His nine pass completions over the past two weeks have gone for 224 yards as senior Jamir Tillman (four catches, 122 yards in the two games) has been a big-play option. Shawn White chipped in 150 rushing yards and three TDs against East Carolina as the nation’s third-ranked rushing outfit recorded 480.

ABOUT SMU (5-6, 3-4): The Mustangs amassed 578 total yards and possessed the ball for more than 36 minutes against USF, but three turnovers – two on interceptions thrown by Ben Hicks – hurt the cause. Hicks has been intercepted an AAC-high 13 times, although nine came in the first five games. Sophomore Braeden West rumbled for 120 yards in the loss to USF and needs 12 more to reach 1,000 for the season.

bovada-logo-top-book currently has the Midshipmen listed as 7-point favorites versus the Mustangs, while the game’s total is sitting at 67.

Navy will try to move a step closer to hosting the American Athletic Conference championship game when it visits SMU on Saturday afternoon. The Midshipmen already secured the West Division with a 66-31 win at East Carolina last weekend but there are a boatload of scenarios that need to be played out before the site of the title game is determined.

A win would increase the chances of the contest being played at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium one week before the annual clash with rival Army in Baltimore. Quarterback Will Worth had four more rushing touchdowns in the victory over the Pirates and his 22 scores on the ground leave him tied for first nationally with Boise State’s Jeremy McNichols. The Midshipmen senior star will test a Mustangs squad that ranks ninth in the AAC in total defense (439.6 yards) and allowed 278 rushing yards in a 35-27 loss to South Florida last Saturday. SMU is looking to become bowl eligible for the first time since 2012.

Last time out for SMU, they were a 35-27 loser as they battled Bulls at home. SMU covered in the match as a +12-point underdog, while 62 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.

In their last action, Navy was a 66-31 winner on the road against Pirates. They covered the -9.5-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (97) was profitable news for OVER bettors.

Where to Bet on Navy Midshipmen vs. SMU Mustangs NCAA Football Week 13?

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Navy:
Team record: 8-2 SU,6-3-1 ATS
Current Streak: won 3 straight games.
Navy is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Navy is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Navy’s last 6 games

SMU:
Team record: 5-6 SU,8-3 ATS
Southern Methodist is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Southern Methodist is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Southern Methodist’s last 12 games

Next up:
Navy home to Army Saturday, December 10

KEY NOTES
1. Mustangs WR Courtland Sutton had a school-record 252 receiving yards against USF and he boasts 25 catches for 418 yards and four TDs in the last two games.

2. Navy is 17-3 under coach Ken Niumatalolo in the months of November and December over the last four years.

3. The Midshipmen have won the last six meetings, including a 55-14 victory at home in 2015.

Vegas Coverage pick and prediction:
Picks: Navy Midshipmen will cover the spread at -7 and the game will go over 67 points, according to scamdicappers scamdicappers.com
PREDICTION: Navy 41, SMU 31 at bovada-logo-top-book

SMART CHART
NAVY TEAM SMU
38.4 PTS FOR 27.4
30.0 PTS AGNST 32.7
8.4 DIFF. -5.4
130.4 PASS YDS 257.9
326.6 RUSH YDS 169.4
258.3 PASS D 255.1
183.0 RUSH D 184.5
-0.3 TO DIFF -0.3
INJURIES
NAVY
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
No Injuries to report.
SOUTHERN METHODIST
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
No Injuries to report.
BETTING TRENDS
NAVY
Navy is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Navy is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Navy’s last 6 games
Navy is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Navy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Southern Methodist
Navy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Southern Methodis
SOUTHERN METHODIST
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Southern Methodist’s last 12 games
Southern Methodist is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games
Southern Methodist is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Methodist’s last 5 games at home
Southern Methodist is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Navy
Southern Methodist is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Navy
Southern Methodist is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Navy
Southern Methodist is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Navy
SUPERGRID
RANK RANK
Navy’s Overall Scoring vs Southern Methodist’s Overall Defense 38.4 20 32.7 99
Navy’s Road Passing vs Southern Methodist’s Home Defense 182.8 99 277.0 112
Navy’s Road Rushing vs Southern Methodist’s Home Defense 285.3 6 146.8 52
Southern Methodist’s Overall Scoring vs Navy’s Overall Defense 27.4 75 30.0 76
Southern Methodist’s Home Passing vs Navy’s Road Passing Defense 262.4 43 183.3 13
Southern Methodist’s Home Rushing vs Navy’s Road Rushing Defense 159.0 97 250.3 112
POWER STATS
YARDS PER POINT
TEAM OFF DEF DIFF
NAVY 11.9 14.7 -2.8
SMU 15.6 13.4 2.2
YARDS PER PASS
TEAM OFF DEF DIFF
NAVY 11.6 8.7 3.0
SMU 6.9 7.0 -0.1
YARDS PER RUSH
TEAM OFF DEF DIFF
NAVY 5.7 4.9 0.7
SMU 4.2 4.5 -0.3

 

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