Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Northwestern Wildcats, Saturday Week 13, Las Vegas Odds, Football Betting, Picks and Prediction

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illinois-fighting-illiniILLINOIS FIGHTING ILLINI Northwestern WildcatsNORTHWESTERN WILDCATS
3-8 November 26, 12:00 PM | Grass of Ryan Field 5-6

When: 12:00 PM ET, Saturday, November 26, 2016
Where: Ryan Field, Evanston, Illinois
TV: Noon ET, Big Ten Network.

Team /  Live in game Betting at bovada-logo-top-book Spread MoneyLine Total
illinois-fighting-illiniIllinois Fighting Illini +17 -110 +575 45.5 -110
Northwestern WildcatsNorthwestern Wildcats -17 -110 -800 45.5 -110
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 The Illinois Fighting Illini and the Northwestern Wildcats will both be gunning for a victory on Saturday when they meet at Ryan Field.

ABOUT ILLINOIS (3-8, 2-6 Big Ten): As the end of a non-bowl season draws ever nearer, Illinois is showing less and less spirit and hustle, which is what Smith wants to be able to build on for next year. Offensively, the Illini never managed to get it in gear at home against Iowa last week, finishing with just 198 yards of total offense – the second time this season they’d finished with fewer than 200. Illinois’ offense hasn’t surpassed 300 yards in the last five games, although offensive coordinator Garrick McGee may try to open it up with nothing to lose in the season finale.

ABOUT NORTHWESTERN (5-6, 4-4): One thing Fitzgerald sees in his team that he hasn’t been able to correct is inconsistency. The Wildcats have put together only one winning streak this year – a three-game stretch at the beginning of October – and Fitzgerald isn’t sure which team is going to show up from week to week. He’s hoping the Northwestern squad that plays its home finale on Saturday is the one that racked up 54 points against Michigan State on Oct. 15 and 45 versus Purdue two weeks ago.

bovada-logo-top-book currently has the Wildcats listed as 17-point favorites versus the Fighting Illini, while the game’s total is sitting at 45.5.

Northwestern looks to become bowl eligible by finishing the regular season at .500 while Illinois just looks to gain some in-state pride when it visits the Wildcats on Saturday. The Wildcats fell to 5-6 after losing to Minnesota last week, leaving coach Pat Fitzgerald’s squad no room for error in its regular-season finale.

The key for Northwestern this week likely will be quarterback Clayton Thorson and how he handles the pressure from Illinois’ defensive line. Thorson has thrown for over 250 yards in six straight games, but the Fighting Illini feature two of the best pass rushers in the league in Carroll Phillips (1.5 tackles for loss per game) and Dawuane Smoot (1.4). Wildcats running back Justin Jackson will help keep some pressure off Thorson if he can continue his fine play, as he comes off a performance of 141 all-purpose yards against Minnesota. Senior quarterback Wes Lunt leads Illinois’ offense after returning from injury a few weeks ago, but the Illini were shut out last week, so coach Lovie Smith may make a switch at the position if the team struggles again early.

In their last action, Northwestern was a 29-12 loser on the road against Golden Gophers. They failed to cover the -1-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (41) was profitable news for UNDER bettors.

Illinois was a 28-0 loser in their most recent outing at home against Hawkeyes. They failed to cover the +9-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (28) made winners of UNDER bettors.

Where to Bet on Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Northwestern Wildcats NCAA Football Week 13?

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Illinois:
Team record: 3-8 SU,5-6 ATS
Illinois is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Illinois is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Illinois is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games on the road

Northwestern:
Team record: 5-6 SU,6-5 ATS
Northwestern is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northwestern’s last 5 games
Northwestern is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home

KEY NOTES
1. Illinois RB Kendrick Foster is one of only two players in the nation with at least 700 rushing yards (721) and 500 kick-return yards (532).

2. Northwestern WR Austin Carr ranks ninth in the country in receptions per game with 7.3 and 10th in receiving yards with 1,170.

3. Thorson is just two passing touchdowns away from breaking Brett Basanez’s school single-season record of 21 set in 2005.

Vegas Coverage pick and prediction:
Picks: Illinois Fighting Illini will cover the spread at +17 and the game will go over 45.5 points, according to scamdicappers scamdicappers.com
PREDICTION: Northwestern 31, Illinois 20 at bovada-logo-top-book

SMART CHART
ILLINO TEAM NWESTN
19.5 PTS FOR 24.1
31.0 PTS AGNST 22.2
-11.5 DIFF. 1.9
156.2 PASS YDS 259.2
148.1 RUSH YDS 133.2
191.8 PASS D 254.9
213.8 RUSH D 143.9
-0.1 TO DIFF -0.4
INJURIES
ILLINOIS
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
No Injuries to report.
NORTHWESTERN
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
No Injuries to report.
BETTING TRENDS
ILLINOIS
Illinois is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Illinois is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
Illinois is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Illinois is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Northwestern
Illinois is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Northwestern
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Illinois’s last 6 games when playing Northwestern
Illinois is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Northwestern
Illinois is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Northwestern
NORTHWESTERN
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northwestern’s last 5 games
Northwestern is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Northwestern is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northwestern’s last 5 games at home
Northwestern is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Illinois
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Northwestern’s last 6 games when playing Illinois
Northwestern is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Illinois
SUPERGRID
RANK RANK
Illinois’s Overall Scoring vs Northwestern’s Overall Defense 19.6 121 22.2 29
Illinois’s Road Passing vs Northwestern’s Home Defense 108.5 127 248.7 93
Illinois’s Road Rushing vs Northwestern’s Home Defense 132.0 91 164.0 67
Northwestern’s Overall Scoring vs Illinois’s Overall Defense 24.1 101 31.0 85
Northwestern’s Home Passing vs Illinois’s Road Passing Defense 253.3 56 196.3 28
Northwestern’s Home Rushing vs Illinois’s Road Rushing Defense 99.0 126 259.8 116
POWER STATS
YARDS PER POINT
TEAM OFF DEF DIFF
ILLINO 15.6 13.1 2.5
NWESTN 16.3 18.0 -1.7
YARDS PER PASS
TEAM OFF DEF DIFF
ILLINO 5.7 7.3 -1.7
NWESTN 6.7 6.8 -0.1
YARDS PER RUSH
TEAM OFF DEF DIFF
ILLINO 5.0 4.5 0.5
NWESTN 3.6 3.8 -0.1

 

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