Florida Gators vs. LSU Tigers, Saturday Week 12, College NCAA Football Betting, Las Vegas Odds, Picks and Prediction

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florida-gatorsFLORIDA GATORS lsu-tigersLSU TIGERS
7-2 November 19, 1:00 PM | Grass of Tiger Stadium 6-3

When: 1:00 PM ET, Saturday, November 19, 2016
Where: Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, Louisiana
TV: 1 p.m. ET, SEC Network. LINE: LSU –14

Team /  Live in game Betting at bovada-logo-top-book Spread Money Line Total
florida-gatorsFlorida +14 -110 +405 37.5 -110
lsu-tigersLSU -14 -110 -525 37.5 -110
168x28a-logo-bovada vegas-bet_now vegas_picks_red vegas-bet_now vegas_picks_red vegas-bet_now vegas_picks_red

The Florida Gators and the LSU Tigers will both be gunning for a victory on Saturday when they meet at Tiger Stadium.

ABOUT FLORIDA (7-2, 5-2 SEC): The Gators will likely be missing their three leading tacklers Saturday – linebackers Jarrad Davis (ankle) and Alex Anzalone (arm), along with safety Marcus Maye (arm). More is needed from the offense and quarterback Austin Appleby was outstanding in place of Luke Del Rio (shoulder, knee) last week against South Carolina, completing 17-of-21 for 201 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Antonio Callaway (35 catches, 533 yards) is the top target for Appleby and Jordan Scarlett (617 yards, six TDs) has emerged as the top option on the ground.

ABOUT LSU (6-3, 4-2): Guice has gained 8.7 yards per carry for a total of 881 with nine touchdowns and the injury-plagued Fournette has run for almost seven per attempt with 803 overall and eight scores. Quarterback Danny Etling went 10-for-16 through the air for 157 yards last week and has completed 58.8 percent of his passes while junior Malachi Dupre is the top receiver with 28 catches for 365 yards. Linebacker Kendell Beckwith has a team-leading 90 tackles for the Tigers, who have allowed a national-least 10 touchdowns overall and just 20 points in the first quarter.

bovada-logo-top-book currently has the Tigers listed as 14-point favorites versus the Gators, while the game’s total is sitting at 37.5.

Instead of a non-conference breather at home this week, Hurricane Matthew forced 18th-ranked Florida to play for its life in the SEC East this Saturday on the road against No. 14 LSU. The Gators were scheduled to host LSU on Oct. 8 before the storm hit and set off a series of discussions over when and if the game would be played, finally settling on Saturday in Baton Rouge.

Florida had to cancel its game with Presbyterian and needs a victory over the Tigers, or a loss by Tennessee in one of its final two games (Missouri, Vanderbilt), to play No. 1 Alabama in the SEC Championship game. The Gators must lean on a defense that has been depleted by injuries to contain a dynamic LSU ground attack, led by junior Leonard Fournette and sophomore Derrius Guice, who combined for 350 rushing yards in the 38-10 win against Arkansas last week. “They want to run the ball, establish the line of scrimmage,” Florida defensive back Nick Washington told reporters. “We have to be strong up front. We have to play assignment football, fill our gaps, those type of things.” The Tigers have dropped three games by a total of 17 points – all to top 16 teams.

KEY NOTES
1. Appleby and Etling were once on the same team at Purdue before both transferred.

2. The Tigers have won the past three meetings and the Gators last won in Baton Rouge in 2009, losing the last three there.

3. Fournette is tied for third in school history with 19 games of at least 100 yards rushing, and needs one to tie Charles Alexander for second.

Vegas Coverage pick and prediction:
Picks: Florida Gators will cover the spread at +14 and the game will stay under 37.5 points, according to scamdicappers scamdicappers.com
PREDICTION: LSU 27, Florida 14 at bovada-logo-top-book

SMART CHART
FLA TEAM LSU
26.2 PTS FOR 27.4
13.3 PTS AGNST 13.9
12.9 DIFF. 13.6
225.4 PASS YDS 170.7
152.7 RUSH YDS 233.6
155.1 PASS D 197.3
111.7 RUSH D 115.0
-0.1 TO DIFF -0.1
INJURIES
FLORIDA
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
No Injuries to report.
LSU
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
No Injuries to report.
BETTING TRENDS
FLORIDA
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida’s last 5 games
Florida is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Florida’s last 9 games on the road
Florida is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Florida is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing LSU
Florida is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing LSU
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida’s last 6 games when playing LSU
Florida is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LSU
Florida is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LSU
LSU
LSU is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LSU’s last 9 games
LSU is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LSU’s last 8 games at home
LSU is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Florida
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LSU’s last 6 games when playing Florida
LSU is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Florida
LSU is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Florida
SUPERGRID
RANK RANK
Florida’s Overall Scoring vs LSU’s Overall Defense 26.2 83 13.9 6
Florida’s Road Passing vs LSU’s Home Defense 223.0 64 187.8 33
Florida’s Road Rushing vs LSU’s Home Defense 70.0 124 111.0 25
LSU’s Overall Scoring vs Florida’s Overall Defense 27.4 74 13.3 5
LSU’s Home Passing vs Florida’s Road Passing Defense 188.3 101 226.7 54
LSU’s Home Rushing vs Florida’s Road Rushing Defense 227.7 28 183.0 59
POWER STATS
YARDS PER POINT
TEAM OFF DEF DIFF
FLA 14.4 20.0 -5.6
LSU 14.7 22.5 -7.8
YARDS PER PASS
TEAM OFF DEF DIFF
FLA 6.9 6.0 0.9
LSU 7.1 6.3 0.8
YARDS PER RUSH
TEAM OFF DEF DIFF
FLA 4.2 3.1 1.1
LSU 6.4 3.2 3.3

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