Utah Utes at UCLA Bruins, Saturday Week 8, Las Vegas Odds, NCAA College Football Betting, Picks and Prediction
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6-1, 1st in Pac 12 – South | October 22, 4:00 PM | Grass of Rose Bowl | 3-4, 5th in Pac 12 – South |
When: 4:00 PM ET, Saturday, October 22, 2016
Where: Rose Bowl, Pasadena, California
Rotation /Team /Time | Opening Lines |
10/22 4:00 PM 397 ![]() 398 ![]() |
— 45u-07 -7 -10 |
Time-change to 04:00pm EDT | UCL-QB-Josh Rosen-Probable | TV Schedule: 4 p.m. ET, Fox | MOSTLY SUNNY, SOUTHWEST WIND 9-14. GAME TEMP 72, RH 57% HEAT INDEX 73, ![]() ![]() |
COLLEGE FOOTBALL – Saturday, October 22nd,
Team / Live in game Betting at ![]() |
Spread | MoneyLine | Total |
---|---|---|---|
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+7 -105 | +250 | 46.5 -110 |
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-7 -115 | -310 | 46.5 -110 |
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ABOUT UTAH (6-1, 3-1 Pac-12): The Utes enter this game tied with Colorado atop the Pac-12 South Division standings and two games ahead of USC. Scoring at least 25 points seems to their benchmark, as Utah is 9-1 over the past two seasons when scoring that many, while UCLA is 2-9 in that span when surrendering at least 25. One area Utah figures to dominate is special teams, as the Utes rank second in the nation in net punting average, have a four-year starter at place kicker who owns the school’s career field-goal record and even their long snapper has been on the field for every snap over the last four seasons.
ABOUT UCLA (3-4, 1-3): The Bruins were the preseason pick to win the South Division this season, but instead have lost three of their first four in conference play for the first time in coach Jim Mora’s five-year tenure. UCLA will likely need to lean on its defense, as the run game is struggling and Rosen might be shaking off some rust, and the entire defensive unit has been solid so far, not allowing an opponent to amass 400 total yards in the last six games. Just one opponent has managed to complete at least 53 percent of its passes this season, and the secondary has accounted for eight interceptions on the year.
currently has the Bruins listed as 7-point favorites versus the Utes, while the game’s total is sitting at 46.5.
UCLA lost its last outing, a 27-21 result against Cougars on October 15. UCLA covered in that game as a +10-point underdog, while the 48 combined points took the game UNDER the total.
UCLA is expected to have quarterback Josh Rosen back from a one-week absence, and No. 18 Utah should have leading receiver Tim Patrick at full speed when the teams collide Saturday afternoon in their Pac-12 matchup at the Rose Bowl. Rosen, a two-year starter, missed last week’s 27-21 loss at Washington State with shoulder and leg injuries, while Patrick looks to be 100 percent after missing the win against Arizona on Oct. 8 with an unspecified injury and then playing sparingly last week.
Utah was a 19-14 winner in its last match on the road against Beavers. They failed to cover the -7-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 33 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window.
The Utes have another reason to feel confident with their scoring abilities now that running back Joe Williams has returned to the team. Williams quit two games into his senior year and wasn’t expected back, but changed his mind at the urging of teammates, then rushed for 179 yards on 34 carries and scored a touchdown in last weekend’s 19-14 win at Oregon State. His return was made even more vital after leading rusher Armand Shyne suffered a season-ending leg injury against Arizona, and Zack Moss also missed the last two games with an undisclosed injury, prompting fellow freshman Devontae Henry-Cole to be removed from his redshirt season. UCLA is dealing with its own rushing woes, but they’re not health-related, rather performance-enhanced, as the Bruins enter the weekend as the third-worst rushing team in the country, averaging 91.1 yards per game.
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Utah:
Team record: 6-1 SU,3-4 ATS
Utah is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Utah is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Utah is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
UCLA:
Team record: 3-4 SU,2-5 ATS
California-Los Angeles is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
California-Los Angeles is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of California-Los Angeles’s last 5 games
Next up:
Utah home to Washington Saturday, October 29
UCLA at Colorado Thursday, November 3
KEY NOTES:
1. Utah is 12-3 over the last two seasons when holding opponents under 130 rushing yards.
2. The only FBS teams to average fewer rushing yards than UCLA this season are Georgia State and Texas State.
3. UCLA has outscored opponents 84-43 in the final 15 minutes of regulation this season, which is 46 percent of its total scoring output.
Vegas Coverage pick and prediction:
Picks: Utah Utes will cover the spread at +7 and the game will go over 46.5 points, according to scamdicappers.com
PREDICTION: Utah 28, UCLA 24 at
SMART CHART | ||
UTAH | TEAM | UCLA |
26.7 | PTS FOR | 26.0 |
18.3 | PTS AGNST | 23.1 |
8.4 | DIFF. | 2.9 |
224.3 | PASS YDS | 318.6 |
193.6 | RUSH YDS | 91.1 |
211.9 | PASS D | 198.1 |
129.7 | RUSH D | 146.3 |
-0.7 | TO DIFF | 0.3 |
INJURIES | ||
UTAH | ||
PLAYER | POS | DESCRIPTION |
No Injuries to report. | ||
UCLA | ||
PLAYER | POS | DESCRIPTION |
No Injuries to report. |
BETTING TRENDS | |||||
UTAH | |||||
Utah is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games | |||||
Utah is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road | |||||
Utah is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games on the road | |||||
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah’s last 8 games on the road | |||||
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah’s last 5 games when playing UCLA | |||||
UCLA | |||||
UCLA is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games | |||||
UCLA is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games | |||||
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UCLA’s last 5 games | |||||
UCLA is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home | |||||
UCLA is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games at home | |||||
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of UCLA’s last 14 games at home | |||||
UCLA is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Utah | |||||
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UCLA’s last 5 games when playing Utah |
SUPERGRID | ||||
RANK | RANK | |||
Utah’s Overall Scoring vs UCLA’s Overall Defense | 26.7 | 78 | 23.1 | 39 |
Utah’s Road Passing vs UCLA’s Home Defense | 187.7 | 92 | 147.0 | 19 |
Utah’s Road Rushing vs UCLA’s Home Defense | 217.3 | 30 | 208.0 | 103 |
UCLA’s Overall Scoring vs Utah’s Overall Defense | 26.0 | 83 | 18.3 | 16 |
UCLA’s Home Passing vs Utah’s Road Passing Defense | 292.7 | 26 | 218.3 | 50 |
UCLA’s Home Rushing vs Utah’s Road Rushing Defense | 140.3 | 109 | 103.0 | 14 |
POWER STATS | |||
YARDS PER POINT | |||
TEAM | OFF | DEF | DIFF |
UTAH | 15.6 | 18.7 | -3.0 |
UCLA | 15.8 | 14.9 | 0.9 |
YARDS PER PASS | |||
TEAM | OFF | DEF | DIFF |
UTAH | 7.4 | 6.8 | 0.6 |
UCLA | 7.9 | 5.2 | 2.6 |
YARDS PER RUSH | |||
TEAM | OFF | DEF | DIFF |
UTAH | 4.2 | 4.3 | -0.1 |
UCLA | 2.8 | 4.0 | -1.2 |