New Mexico State Aggies vs. Kentucky Wildcats, College Football Odds, Las Vegas Betting, Picks and Prediction

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new-mexico-state-aggiesNEW MEXICO STATE AGGIES kentucky-wildcatsKENTUCKY WILDCATS
1-1 September 17, 4:00 PM | Grass of Commonwealth Stadium 0-2

When: 4:00 PM ET, Saturday, September 17, 2016
Where: Commonwealth Stadium, Lexington, Kentucky

Rotation /Team /Time Opening Lines
09/17 4:00 PM
159 new-mexico-state-aggies New Mexico State
160 kentucky-wildcatsKentucky
 —
63½u-10
-21½ -10
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COLLEGE FOOTBALL – Saturday, September 17th, New Mexico State Aggies vs. Kentucky Wildcats

Team / Live in game Betting at bovada-logo-top-book Spread Money Line Total
new-mexico-state-aggiesNew Mexico State +22 -110 +1000 67 -105
kentucky-wildcatsKentucky -22 -110 -2000 67 -115
168x28a-logo-bovada vegas-bet_now vegas_picks_red vegas-bet_now vegas_picks_red vegas-bet_now vegas_picks_red

The New Mexico State Aggies and the Kentucky Wildcats will both be trying to pick up a win on Saturday when they battle at Commonwealth Stadium.

ABOUT NEW MEXICO STATE (1-1): The Aggies are led by senior quarterback Tyler Rogers, who is 38-for-76 with two touchdowns this season while totaling a team-high 84 rushing yards and a score. Junior running back Larry Rose III, the reigning Sun Belt Offensive Player of the Year and New Mexico State’s No. 5 all-time rusher with 2,753 yards in his first two seasons, has yet to make his 2016 debut and is doubtful to play Saturday because of a sports hernia. The Wildcats must try to steer clear of senior linebacker Rodney Butler, who recorded a career-high 24 tackles last week – two shy of the school record – and leads the nation at 19.5 per game.

ABOUT KENTUCKY (0-2): Junior running back Stanley Boom Williams is off to a solid start by averaging 6.4 yards on 25 carries. Junior wide receiver Garrett Johnson recorded six catches for 143 yards and two touchdowns versus Southern Miss, but was kept off the scoresheet against Florida. The secondary is led by junior cornerback J.D. Harmon, who has two interceptions (seven career), one break up and two passes defended.

bovada-logo-top-bookcurrently has the Wildcats listed as 22-point favorites versus the Aggies, while the game’s total is sitting at 67.

Jordan Jones raised some eyebrows after last week’s 45-7 loss to No. 23 Florida when he implied that some of his Kentucky teammates gave up, telling reporters: “Sometimes when we’re down, a lot of people on our team just tend to quit and think it’s over, and I don’t think it’s over until it’s actually over.” The Wildcats hope to prove their star sophomore linebacker wrong and right the ship when they host New Mexico State on Saturday.

“I don’t know exactly what his intent was, but Jordan backs it up,” Kentucky coach Mark Stoops said Monday during his weekly press conference. “I wouldn’t use the word ‘quit.’ I’d like to say I’d rather have guys respond the way he does. I think that’s a beautiful quote for you guys, but I don’t think he means it that way. I think he means it that we need to respond.” Jones has registered an SEC-high 28 tackles this season – third nationally – and is one of the few bright spots on a squad that allowed Southern Miss to score the final 34 points in a season-opening 44-35 loss. The Wildcats must get more from sophomore quarterback Drew Barker (50 percent completion rate, four touchdowns, four interceptions), who was 2-of-10 for 10 yards versus Florida. The Aggies, picked to finish ninth in the Sun Belt Conference preseason poll, are coming off a 32-31 victory over rival New Mexico after dropping their season opener 38-22 to UTEP.

In their last action, Kentucky was a 45-7 loser on the road against Gators. They failed to cover the +14-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (52) was profitable news for OVER bettors.

In their last action, New Mexico State was a 32-31 winner at home against Lobos. They covered the +12.5-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (63) was profitable news for OVER bettors.

Where to Bet on New Mexico State Aggies vs. Kentucky Wildcats NCAA Football Week 3?

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New Mexico State:
Team record: 1-1 SU,1-1 ATS
New Mexico State is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games
New Mexico State is 4-20 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico State’s last 5 games

Kentucky:
Team record: 0-2 SU,0-2 ATS
Kentucky is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games
Kentucky is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kentucky’s last 5 games

Next up:
New Mexico State at Troy Saturday, September 24
Kentucky home to South Carolina Saturday, September 24

Vegas Coverage pick and prediction:

Picks:  New Mexico State Aggies will cover the spread at +22 and the game will stay under 67 points, according to scamdicappers scamdicappers.com.

PREDICTION:  Kentucky 42, New Mexico State 22 at bovada-logo-top-book

SMART CHART
NMEXST TEAM KENTUC
27.0 PTS FOR 21.0
34.5 PTS AGNST 44.5
-7.5 DIFF. -23.5
205.5 PASS YDS 184.0
120.5 RUSH YDS 112.0
172.0 PASS D 289.0
255.0 RUSH D 270.0
-1.5 TO DIFF 1.5
INJURIES
NEW MEXICO STATE
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
No Injuries to report.
KENTUCKY
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
No Injuries to report.
BETTING TRENDS
NEW MEXICO STATE
New Mexico State is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games
New Mexico State is 4-20 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico State’s last 5 games
New Mexico State is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
New Mexico State is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 18 of New Mexico State’s last 21 games on the road
KENTUCKY
Kentucky is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games
Kentucky is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kentucky’s last 5 games
Kentucky is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Kentucky is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kentucky’s last 5 games at home
SUPERGRID
RANK RANK
New Mexico State’s Overall Scoring vs Kentucky’s Overall Defense 27.0 82 44.5 125
New Mexico State’s Road Passing vs Kentucky’s Home Defense 206.0 44 258.0 94
New Mexico State’s Road Rushing vs Kentucky’s Home Defense 139.0 39 296.0 115
Kentucky’s Overall Scoring vs New Mexico State’s Overall Defense 21.0 106 34.5 104
Kentucky’s Home Passing vs New Mexico State’s Road Passing Defense 313.0 23 229.0 39
Kentucky’s Home Rushing vs New Mexico State’s Road Rushing Defense 130.0 94 289.0 70
POWER STATS
YARDS PER POINT
OFF DEF DIFF
12.1 12.4 -0.3
14.1 12.6 1.5
YARDS PER PASS
OFF DEF DIFF
5.4 6.7 -1.3
9.4 9.5 -0.0
YARDS PER RUSH
OFF DEF DIFF
3.7 5.4 -1.7
3.8 4.6 -0.8

 

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