Red Sox vs. Marlins, Odds Analysis and Betting Predictions, August 12th

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BOSTON RED SOX MIAMI MARLINS
50-63 Wednesday August 12th, 2015 4:10 PM | Grass of Marlins Park – Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins 45-68

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Boston

Red Sox

EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L)

ERA: 4.17

W/L: 6-4

928

Miami

Marlins

ADAM CONLEY (L)

ERA: 3.60

W/L: 1-0

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Vegas Coverage Handicapping tips: EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) the home team will win. VC Picks Boston Red Sox.

The Boston Red Sox and the Miami Marlins will both be trying to pick up a win on Wednesday when they battle at Marlins Park.
The Red Sox will give the ball to starter Eduardo Rodriguez in this one. Left hander Rodriguez is 6-4 this season with a 4.17 ERA.
The Marlins will counter Rodriguez with Adam Conley. Left hander Conley has a 4.05 ERA to go along with a 1-0 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Red Sox listed as 114-moneyline favorites versus the Marlins, while the game’s total is sitting at 7½.
Last time out for Miami, they were a 5-4 winner as they battled the Red Sox on the road. Moneyline bettors who got the Marlins at 105 were rewarded, while the 9 combined runs moved the game OVER for totals bettors.

Last time out for Boston, they were a 5-4 loser as they battled the Marlins on the road. Moneyline bettors who got the Marlins at 105 were rewarded, while the 9 combined runs moved the game OVER for totals bettors.

Boston:
Team record: 50-63
Boston is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Boston’s last 15 games
Boston is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston’s last 12 games on the road

Miami:
Team record: 45-68
Miami is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami’s last 6 games
Miami is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami’s last 7 games at home

Next up:
Boston home to Seattle Friday, August 14
Miami at St. Louis Friday, August 14

SMART CHART
BOS TEAM MIA
4.21 RUNS 3.58
4.81 RUNS AGNST 4.09
-0.59 DIFF -0.50
-$1,964 MONEY -$2,235
4.53 TEAM ERA 3.90
8.84 OFF HITS 8.49
2.95 OFF WALKS 2.42
6.65 OFF Ks 7.42
9.21 DEF HITS 8.35
2.97 DEF WALKS 2.75
7.44 DEF Ks 7.06
BULLPENS
Boston Red Sox’s relievers have pitched 10? innings in the last 3 games. Miami Marlins’s relievers have pitched 8? innings in the last 3 games.
INJURIES
BOSTON RED SOX
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
Clay Buchholz P 60-Day Disabled List
Dustin Pedroia 2B 15-Day Disabled List
Rick Porcello P 15-Day Disabled List
Koji Uehara P 15-Day Disabled List
Anthony Varvaro P 60-Day Disabled List
Christian Vazquez C 60-Day Disabled List
Brandon Workman P 60-Day Disabled List
MIAMI MARLINS
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
Henderson Alvarez P 15-Day Disabled List
Carter Capps P 15-Day Disabled List
Aaron Crow P 60-Day Disabled List
Jose Fernandez P 15-Day Disabled List
Don Kelly 1B 15-Day Disabled List
Andre Rienzo P 15-Day Disabled List
Giancarlo Stanton OF 15-Day Disabled List
Jose Urena P 15-Day Disabled List
BETTING TRENDS
BOSTON RED SOX
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Boston’s last 15 games
Boston is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston’s last 12 games on the road
Boston is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Miami
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston’s last 10 games when playing on the road against Miami
MIAMI MARLINS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami’s last 6 games
Miami is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami’s last 7 games at home
Miami is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home
Miami is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Boston
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami’s last 10 games when playing at home against Boston
SUPERGRID
RANK RANK
Boston’s Overall Scoring vs Miami’s Overall Defense 4.2 8 4.1 8
Boston’s Away Scoring vs Miami’s Home Defense 3.7 14 3.8 8
Boston’s Road ERA vs Miami’s Home ERA Allowed 4.5 13 3.6 11
Miami’s Overall Scoring vs Boston’s Overall Defense 3.6 15 4.8 14
Miami’s Home Scoring vs Boston’s Road Defense 3.7 14 4.7 12
Miami’s Home ERA vs Boston’s Road ERA Allowed 3.5 8 3.2 15
BOSTON OFFENSE RANK MIAMI DEFENSE RANK
OVERALL
Runs 4.21 8 4.09 8
Hits 8.84 3 8.35 5
Walks 2.95 5 2.75 6
Strikeouts 6.65 3 7.06 14
Team ERA 3.66 12 3.90 8
MIAMI OFFENSE RANK BOSTON DEFENSE RANK
OVERALL
Runs 3.58 15 4.81 14
Hits 8.49 9 9.21 13
Walks 2.42 13 2.97 14
Strikeouts 7.42 5 7.44 9
Team ERA 3.43 14 4.53
BOSTON ROAD OFFENSE RANK MIAMI HOME DEFENSE RANK
OVERALL
Runs 3.67 14 3.82 8
Hits 8.17 13 8.40 5
Walks 3.00 4 2.75 8
Strikeouts 6.74 2 7.61 13
Team ERA 3.15 15 3.53 8
MIAMI HOME OFFENSE RANK BOSTON ROAD DEFENSE RANK
OVERALL
Runs 3.68 14 4.72 12
Hits 8.39 8 8.98 11
Walks 2.49 13 3.19 13
Strikeouts 7.12 6 7.07 8
Team ERA 3.62 11 4.54 13
TOP 3/BOTTOM 3
RED SOX
Red Sox are the highest scoring team in the league at 5.3 runs per game.
Red Sox have the second best hits stat in the league at 9.7 per game.
Red Sox are second in the league in free passes at 3.6 per game.
MARLINS
Marlins are lowest scoring team in the league at 3.2 runs per game.
Marlins trail the league in hits with 7.8 per game.
Marlins are second worst in walks allowed in the league at 3.2 per game.

 

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