Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Analysis – July 30th

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CHICAGO CUBS MILWAUKEE BREWERS
53-47 July 30, 2015 8:10 PM | Grass of Miller Park 44-58

Las Vegas Betting Lines: Picks, Tips and Predictions from Vegas Coverage

961 Chicago Cubs

JAKE ARRIETA (R)

ERA: 2.61 W/L: 11-6

962 Milwaukee Brewers

JIMMY NELSON (R)

ERA: 4.12 W/L: 8-9

Away Runline -1.5 (+135) Home Runline +1.5 (-155)
Away Moneyline (-126) Home Moneyline (+116)
Over 7.0 (-125) Under 7.0 (+105)

Vegas Coverage Handicapping tips: JAKE ARRIETA (R) the away team will win. VC Picks Chicago Cubs.

The division rival Chicago Cubs and Milwaukee Brewers are set to renew hostilities on Thursday when they meet at Miller Park.
right hander Jake Arrieta will take the mound for the Cubs to start this game. Arrieta is 11-6 this season with a 2.61 ERA.
The Brewers will counter Arrieta with Jimmy Nelson. Right hander Nelson has a 4.12 ERA to go along with a 8-9 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Cubs listed as 123-moneyline favorites versus the Brewers, while the game’s total is sitting at 7½.
Milwaukee was a 5-0 loser in its last match on the road against the Giants. They lost as -112 favorites, while the total score of 5 made winners of UNDER bettors.
Last time out for Chicago, they were a 3-2 winner as they battled the Rockies on the road. Moneyline bettors who got the Cubs at -221 were rewarded, while the 5 combined runs moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.

Chicago:
Team record: 53-47
Chi Cubs is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi Cubs’s last 9 games
Chi Cubs is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee

Milwaukee:
Team record: 44-58
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee’s last 6 games
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee’s last 6 games at home

Next up:
Chi Cubs at Milwaukee Friday, July 31

SMART CHART
CHC TEAM MIL
3.83 RUNS 3.95
3.85 RUNS AGNST 4.40
-0.02 DIFF -0.45
-$301 MONEY -$1,331
3.49 TEAM ERA 4.13
8.03 OFF HITS 8.48
3.45 OFF WALKS 2.42
9.15 OFF Ks 7.58
8.17 DEF HITS 8.89
2.64 DEF WALKS 2.94
8.71 DEF Ks 7.75
BULLPENS
Chicago Cubs’s relievers have pitched 12? innings in the last 3 games. Milwaukee Brewers’s relievers have pitched 6? innings in the last 3 games.
INJURIES
CHICAGO CUBS
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
Tommy La Stella 2B 60-Day Disabled List
Miguel Montero C 15-Day Disabled List
Neil Ramirez P 15-Day Disabled List
Zac Rosscup P 15-Day Disabled List
Jacob Turner P 60-Day Disabled List
Tsuyoshi Wada P 15-Day Disabled List
MILWAUKEE BREWERS
PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION
Brandon Kintzler P 15-Day Disabled List
BETTING TRENDS
CHICAGO CUBS
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi Cubs’s last 9 games
Chi Cubs are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games
Chi Cubs are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs’s last 8 games when playing Milwaukee
Chi Cubs are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Chi Cubs are 8-17 SU in their last 25 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi Cubs’s last 9 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
MILWAUKEE BREWERS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee’s last 6 games
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee’s last 6 games at home
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee’s last 8 games when playing Chi Cubs
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee’s last 9 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Milwaukee is 17-8 SU in their last 25 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
SUPERGRID
RANK RANK
Chi Cubs’s Overall Scoring vs Milwaukee’s Overall Defense 3.8 10 4.4 12
Chi Cubs’s Away Scoring vs Milwaukee’s Home Defense 4.5 3 5.0 14
Chi Cubs’s Road ERA vs Milwaukee’s Home ERA Allowed 3.7 5 4.0 6
Milwaukee’s Overall Scoring vs Chi Cubs’s Overall Defense 4.0 7 3.9 6
Milwaukee’s Home Scoring vs Chi Cubs’s Road Defense 4.2 5 4.1 6
Milwaukee’s Home ERA vs Chi Cubs’s Road ERA Allowed 4.5 14 3.7 6
CHI CUBS OFFENSE RANK MILWAUKEE DEFENSE RANK
OVERALL
Runs 3.83 10 4.40 12
Hits 8.03 13 8.89 12
Walks 3.45 1 2.94 9
Strikeouts 9.15 15 7.75 8
Team ERA 3.36 13 4.13 13
MILWAUKEE OFFENSE RANK CHI CUBS DEFENSE RANK
OVERALL
Runs 3.95 7 3.85 6
Hits 8.48 8 8.17 3
Walks 2.42 13 2.64 4
Strikeouts 7.58 7 8.71 1
Team ERA 3.76 6 3.49 5
CHI CUBS ROAD OFFENSE RANK MILWAUKEE HOME DEFENSE RANK
OVERALL
Runs 4.47 3 5.04 14
Hits 8.78 6 9.45 13
Walks 3.51 2 2.94 9
Strikeouts 9.45 15 8.43 4
Team ERA 3.72 6 4.50 14
MILWAUKEE HOME OFFENSE RANK CHI CUBS ROAD DEFENSE RANK
OVERALL
Runs 4.18 5 4.06 6
Hits 8.33 9 8.45 7
Walks 2.65 10 2.63 2
Strikeouts 7.76 12 8.47 1
Team ERA 3.97 6 3.67 5
TOP 3/BOTTOM 3
CUBS
Cubs are second lowest scoring team in the league at 3.7 runs per game.
Cubs have the second worst hits stat in the league at 8.1 per game.
Cubs give up the most free passes in the league allowing 3.3 per game.
BREWERS
Brewers trail the league in walks with 2.5 per game.
Brewers strike out the second least opponents in the league with 6.9 per game.

 

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